**Trader consensus on a 24°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 13, 2026, reflects real-time meteorological observations and model outputs showing afternoon temperatures peaking near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with light westerly winds.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as GFS data indicate stable conditions with minimal diurnal warming, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the region where daily highs typically range 23–26°C. The strong market-implied probability above 99% aligns with skin-in-the-game assessment of current readings and short-term model consensus. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or a late surge in insolation that pushes readings above the observed maximum, though available data through late afternoon show no such trend and resolution criteria remain tightly constrained.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
24°C 99.6%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$43,575 Wol.
$43,575 Wol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.6%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$43,575 Wol.
$43,575 Wol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 24°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 13, 2026, reflects real-time meteorological observations and model outputs showing afternoon temperatures peaking near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy to overcast conditions with light westerly winds.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as GFS data indicate stable conditions with minimal diurnal warming, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September in the region where daily highs typically range 23–26°C. The strong market-implied probability above 99% aligns with skin-in-the-game assessment of current readings and short-term model consensus. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or a late surge in insolation that pushes readings above the observed maximum, though available data through late afternoon show no such trend and resolution criteria remain tightly constrained.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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