**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14, 2026, centers on 18–20°C, with 19°C holding the strongest implied probability at 51.5%.** This reflects late-summer cooling patterns as northwest winds advect cooler, drier air from higher latitudes into the Korean Peninsula, promoting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clearing skies. Official forecasts from sources aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration data and global models show daytime highs near 26–27°C on the 14th, with minimums expected pre-dawn (around 04:00–06:00 local time) as winds remain light and humidity supports efficient heat loss. Recent observations on September 13 indicate temperatures falling into the low 20s°C overnight amid overcast conditions transitioning to clearer skies, consistent with a modest cooling trend. Model consensus points to a low near 19–20°C at Incheon International Airport (the resolution reference), with limited spread due to stable high pressure and minimal precipitation risk. Urban heat island effects in Seoul proper versus the airport site add minor uncertainty, but the tight clustering of outcomes around 18–20°C aligns with historical mid-September climatology and the absence of disruptive factors like strong frontal systems or prolonged cloud cover. New model runs or updated KMA guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
19°C 39%
18°C 22%
20°C 14%
17°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
22%
19°C
44%
20°C
21%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 39%
18°C 22%
20°C 14%
17°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$419 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$233 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$436 Wol.
2%
17°C
$387 Wol.
4%
18°C
$872 Wol.
22%
19°C
$3,078 Wol.
44%
20°C
$703 Wol.
21%
21°C
$181 Wol.
1%
22°C
$175 Wol.
1%
23°C
$434 Wol.
1%
24°C or higher
$248 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14, 2026, centers on 18–20°C, with 19°C holding the strongest implied probability at 51.5%.** This reflects late-summer cooling patterns as northwest winds advect cooler, drier air from higher latitudes into the Korean Peninsula, promoting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clearing skies.
Official forecasts from sources aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration data and global models show daytime highs near 26–27°C on the 14th, with minimums expected pre-dawn (around 04:00–06:00 local time) as winds remain light and humidity supports efficient heat loss. Recent observations on September 13 indicate temperatures falling into the low 20s°C overnight amid overcast conditions transitioning to clearer skies, consistent with a modest cooling trend.
Model consensus points to a low near 19–20°C at Incheon International Airport (the resolution reference), with limited spread due to stable high pressure and minimal precipitation risk. Urban heat island effects in Seoul proper versus the airport site add minor uncertainty, but the tight clustering of outcomes around 18–20°C aligns with historical mid-September climatology and the absence of disruptive factors like strong frontal systems or prolonged cloud cover. New model runs or updated KMA guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,166Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14, 2026, centers on 18–20°C, with 19°C holding the strongest implied probability at 51.5%.** This reflects late-summer cooling patterns as northwest winds advect cooler, drier air from higher latitudes into the Korean Peninsula, promoting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clearing skies.
Official forecasts from sources aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration data and global models show daytime highs near 26–27°C on the 14th, with minimums expected pre-dawn (around 04:00–06:00 local time) as winds remain light and humidity supports efficient heat loss. Recent observations on September 13 indicate temperatures falling into the low 20s°C overnight amid overcast conditions transitioning to clearer skies, consistent with a modest cooling trend.
Model consensus points to a low near 19–20°C at Incheon International Airport (the resolution reference), with limited spread due to stable high pressure and minimal precipitation risk. Urban heat island effects in Seoul proper versus the airport site add minor uncertainty, but the tight clustering of outcomes around 18–20°C aligns with historical mid-September climatology and the absence of disruptive factors like strong frontal systems or prolonged cloud cover. New model runs or updated KMA guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,166Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14, 2026, centers on 18–20°C, with 19°C holding the strongest implied probability at 51.5%.** This reflects late-summer cooling patterns as northwest winds advect cooler, drier air from higher latitudes into the Korean Peninsula, promoting overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clearing skies. Official forecasts from sources aligned with Korea Meteorological Administration data and global models show daytime highs near 26–27°C on the 14th, with minimums expected pre-dawn (around 04:00–06:00 local time) as winds remain light and humidity supports efficient heat loss. Recent observations on September 13 indicate temperatures falling into the low 20s°C overnight amid overcast conditions transitioning to clearer skies, consistent with a modest cooling trend. Model consensus points to a low near 19–20°C at Incheon International Airport (the resolution reference), with limited spread due to stable high pressure and minimal precipitation risk. Urban heat island effects in Seoul proper versus the airport site add minor uncertainty, but the tight clustering of outcomes around 18–20°C aligns with historical mid-September climatology and the absence of disruptive factors like strong frontal systems or prolonged cloud cover. New model runs or updated KMA guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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