Northeast monsoon flow and a departing tropical cyclone are shaping Hong Kong’s September 14 conditions, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 27–31 °C range amid short sunshine periods and scattered showers. Trader consensus clustering at 31 °C (39 %) over 32 °C (31.5 %) reflects uncertainty in cloud cover timing and shower intensity, which can suppress peak readings by several degrees under high humidity and light east-northeast winds. Recent observations on September 13 reached 31–32 °C at multiple stations, supporting the narrow spread between these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 30 °C or below align with model indications of afternoon clearing. Updated numerical guidance and any HKO forecast revisions before sunset on the 13th remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
31°C 39%
32°C 32%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
39%
32°C
32%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 32%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$323 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$203 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$261 Wol.
2%
29°C
$291 Wol.
8%
30°C
$843 Wol.
19%
31°C
$142 Wol.
39%
32°C
$973 Wol.
32%
33°C
$218 Wol.
7%
34°C
$382 Wol.
2%
35°C
$132 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$282 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow and a departing tropical cyclone are shaping Hong Kong’s September 14 conditions, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 27–31 °C range amid short sunshine periods and scattered showers. Trader consensus clustering at 31 °C (39 %) over 32 °C (31.5 %) reflects uncertainty in cloud cover timing and shower intensity, which can suppress peak readings by several degrees under high humidity and light east-northeast winds. Recent observations on September 13 reached 31–32 °C at multiple stations, supporting the narrow spread between these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 30 °C or below align with model indications of afternoon clearing. Updated numerical guidance and any HKO forecast revisions before sunset on the 13th remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,049Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow and a departing tropical cyclone are shaping Hong Kong’s September 14 conditions, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 27–31 °C range amid short sunshine periods and scattered showers. Trader consensus clustering at 31 °C (39 %) over 32 °C (31.5 %) reflects uncertainty in cloud cover timing and shower intensity, which can suppress peak readings by several degrees under high humidity and light east-northeast winds. Recent observations on September 13 reached 31–32 °C at multiple stations, supporting the narrow spread between these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 30 °C or below align with model indications of afternoon clearing. Updated numerical guidance and any HKO forecast revisions before sunset on the 13th remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$4,049Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow and a departing tropical cyclone are shaping Hong Kong’s September 14 conditions, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting a 27–31 °C range amid short sunshine periods and scattered showers. Trader consensus clustering at 31 °C (39 %) over 32 °C (31.5 %) reflects uncertainty in cloud cover timing and shower intensity, which can suppress peak readings by several degrees under high humidity and light east-northeast winds. Recent observations on September 13 reached 31–32 °C at multiple stations, supporting the narrow spread between these two outcomes, while lower probabilities for 30 °C or below align with model indications of afternoon clearing. Updated numerical guidance and any HKO forecast revisions before sunset on the 13th remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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