Recent short-range forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and local observations indicate a high near 82°F for downtown Los Angeles on September 2 under sunny conditions with moderate southwest winds, driven by persistent high pressure and limited marine-layer influence. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 77°F, though ensemble spread and potential strengthening of onshore flow introduce uncertainty that keeps 72–73°F and 76–77°F bins nearly tied at 48.7% and 47.5% implied probability. Traders are weighting the balance between model consensus on clear skies versus historical variability in early-September coastal cooling, with resolution hinging on the final NWS verification of the daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 2?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 2?
66-67°F 50.8%
76-77°F 48%
72-73°F 25.0%
65°F or below 21.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
65°F or below
21%
66-67°F
51%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
11%
84°F or higher
6%
66-67°F 50.8%
76-77°F 48%
72-73°F 25.0%
65°F or below 21.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
65°F or below
$893 Wol.
21%
66-67°F
$513 Wol.
51%
68-69°F
$248 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$67 Wol.
6%
72-73°F
$37 Wol.
25%
74-75°F
$379 Wol.
34%
76-77°F
$242 Wol.
48%
78-79°F
$251 Wol.
13%
80-81°F
$15 Wol.
8%
82-83°F
$15 Wol.
11%
84°F or higher
$32 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and local observations indicate a high near 82°F for downtown Los Angeles on September 2 under sunny conditions with moderate southwest winds, driven by persistent high pressure and limited marine-layer influence. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 77°F, though ensemble spread and potential strengthening of onshore flow introduce uncertainty that keeps 72–73°F and 76–77°F bins nearly tied at 48.7% and 47.5% implied probability. Traders are weighting the balance between model consensus on clear skies versus historical variability in early-September coastal cooling, with resolution hinging on the final NWS verification of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,691Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and local observations indicate a high near 82°F for downtown Los Angeles on September 2 under sunny conditions with moderate southwest winds, driven by persistent high pressure and limited marine-layer influence. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 77°F, though ensemble spread and potential strengthening of onshore flow introduce uncertainty that keeps 72–73°F and 76–77°F bins nearly tied at 48.7% and 47.5% implied probability. Traders are weighting the balance between model consensus on clear skies versus historical variability in early-September coastal cooling, with resolution hinging on the final NWS verification of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,691Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and local observations indicate a high near 82°F for downtown Los Angeles on September 2 under sunny conditions with moderate southwest winds, driven by persistent high pressure and limited marine-layer influence. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 climatological average of roughly 77°F, though ensemble spread and potential strengthening of onshore flow introduce uncertainty that keeps 72–73°F and 76–77°F bins nearly tied at 48.7% and 47.5% implied probability. Traders are weighting the balance between model consensus on clear skies versus historical variability in early-September coastal cooling, with resolution hinging on the final NWS verification of the daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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