Latest high-resolution model runs place Milan's September 1 maximum near 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, producing the tight 38 % market-implied odds on each outcome. Diurnal heating will be modulated by variable cloud cover that reduces peak insolation and by modest moisture advection keeping surface dew points around 16–18 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest but sufficient to allow either a 28 °C or 31 °C reading depending on exact timing of any scattered showers and the strength of the urban heat-island contribution at the official measurement site. Traders are therefore weighting the two leading bins equally while awaiting the final 12–18 h model updates and official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on September 1?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 1?
30°C 39%
29°C 38%
31°C 17%
28°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
38%
30°C
39%
31°C
17%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 39%
29°C 38%
31°C 17%
28°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
$173 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$19 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$70 Wol.
4%
27°C
$12 Wol.
5%
28°C
$162 Wol.
6%
29°C
$76 Wol.
38%
30°C
$159 Wol.
39%
31°C
$58 Wol.
17%
32°C
$33 Wol.
3%
33°C
$19 Wol.
2%
34°C or higher
$111 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution model runs place Milan's September 1 maximum near 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, producing the tight 38 % market-implied odds on each outcome. Diurnal heating will be modulated by variable cloud cover that reduces peak insolation and by modest moisture advection keeping surface dew points around 16–18 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest but sufficient to allow either a 28 °C or 31 °C reading depending on exact timing of any scattered showers and the strength of the urban heat-island contribution at the official measurement site. Traders are therefore weighting the two leading bins equally while awaiting the final 12–18 h model updates and official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$891Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution model runs place Milan's September 1 maximum near 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, producing the tight 38 % market-implied odds on each outcome. Diurnal heating will be modulated by variable cloud cover that reduces peak insolation and by modest moisture advection keeping surface dew points around 16–18 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest but sufficient to allow either a 28 °C or 31 °C reading depending on exact timing of any scattered showers and the strength of the urban heat-island contribution at the official measurement site. Traders are therefore weighting the two leading bins equally while awaiting the final 12–18 h model updates and official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$891Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution model runs place Milan's September 1 maximum near 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, producing the tight 38 % market-implied odds on each outcome. Diurnal heating will be modulated by variable cloud cover that reduces peak insolation and by modest moisture advection keeping surface dew points around 16–18 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest but sufficient to allow either a 28 °C or 31 °C reading depending on exact timing of any scattered showers and the strength of the urban heat-island contribution at the official measurement site. Traders are therefore weighting the two leading bins equally while awaiting the final 12–18 h model updates and official observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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