**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Po Valley are driving the market's strong preference for a 30°C daily maximum in Milan on August 30, 2026.** Forecasts from sources including ilMeteo.it, WeatherBug, and Yr.no consistently project afternoon peaks of 30–32°C under mostly sunny skies, light southerly or variable winds, and minimal cloud cover, which maximizes solar heating while limiting cooling. Official and model guidance shows morning temperatures rising from lows near 21–22°C to afternoon highs around 30–31°C, with current midday readings already at 28–30°C and little indication of further significant warming. Trader consensus (76% implied probability on 30°C) reflects these stable late-summer patterns typical for the region, where urban heat effects and light winds support modest peaks without the advection or instability needed for higher readings. Minor upward revisions in some models (e.g., 31–32°C) account for the smaller probabilities on 31°C and above, but no major forecast shifts or extreme heat signals have altered the outlook. The market will resolve based on the official highest recorded temperature for the calendar day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on August 30?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 30?
30°C 74%
31°C 20%
29°C 5%
32°C <1%
$28,076 Wol.
$28,076 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
74%
31°C
20%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 74%
31°C 20%
29°C 5%
32°C <1%
$28,076 Wol.
$28,076 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$2,856 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$1,307 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$1,926 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$460 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$616 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,223 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$6,058 Wol.
5%
30°C
$5,359 Wol.
74%
31°C
$5,202 Wol.
20%
32°C
$2,239 Wol.
1%
33°C or higher
$1,312 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Po Valley are driving the market's strong preference for a 30°C daily maximum in Milan on August 30, 2026.** Forecasts from sources including ilMeteo.it, WeatherBug, and Yr.no consistently project afternoon peaks of 30–32°C under mostly sunny skies, light southerly or variable winds, and minimal cloud cover, which maximizes solar heating while limiting cooling. Official and model guidance shows morning temperatures rising from lows near 21–22°C to afternoon highs around 30–31°C, with current midday readings already at 28–30°C and little indication of further significant warming.
Trader consensus (76% implied probability on 30°C) reflects these stable late-summer patterns typical for the region, where urban heat effects and light winds support modest peaks without the advection or instability needed for higher readings. Minor upward revisions in some models (e.g., 31–32°C) account for the smaller probabilities on 31°C and above, but no major forecast shifts or extreme heat signals have altered the outlook. The market will resolve based on the official highest recorded temperature for the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$28,076Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Po Valley are driving the market's strong preference for a 30°C daily maximum in Milan on August 30, 2026.** Forecasts from sources including ilMeteo.it, WeatherBug, and Yr.no consistently project afternoon peaks of 30–32°C under mostly sunny skies, light southerly or variable winds, and minimal cloud cover, which maximizes solar heating while limiting cooling. Official and model guidance shows morning temperatures rising from lows near 21–22°C to afternoon highs around 30–31°C, with current midday readings already at 28–30°C and little indication of further significant warming.
Trader consensus (76% implied probability on 30°C) reflects these stable late-summer patterns typical for the region, where urban heat effects and light winds support modest peaks without the advection or instability needed for higher readings. Minor upward revisions in some models (e.g., 31–32°C) account for the smaller probabilities on 31°C and above, but no major forecast shifts or extreme heat signals have altered the outlook. The market will resolve based on the official highest recorded temperature for the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$28,076Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Po Valley are driving the market's strong preference for a 30°C daily maximum in Milan on August 30, 2026.** Forecasts from sources including ilMeteo.it, WeatherBug, and Yr.no consistently project afternoon peaks of 30–32°C under mostly sunny skies, light southerly or variable winds, and minimal cloud cover, which maximizes solar heating while limiting cooling. Official and model guidance shows morning temperatures rising from lows near 21–22°C to afternoon highs around 30–31°C, with current midday readings already at 28–30°C and little indication of further significant warming. Trader consensus (76% implied probability on 30°C) reflects these stable late-summer patterns typical for the region, where urban heat effects and light winds support modest peaks without the advection or instability needed for higher readings. Minor upward revisions in some models (e.g., 31–32°C) account for the smaller probabilities on 31°C and above, but no major forecast shifts or extreme heat signals have altered the outlook. The market will resolve based on the official highest recorded temperature for the calendar day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania