Forecast models from agencies including ECMWF and local Italian services indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for Milan on August 30, driven by clear skies, light winds, and stable high pressure limiting overnight cooling to typical late-summer levels. This aligns with the market-implied 95.5% probability on 18°C, reflecting trader consensus on observed trends and ensemble guidance rather than historical averages around 17–19°C. Official resolution depends on the precise station reading and daily minimum criteria. Unusually rapid radiative cooling under prolonged clear conditions or model revisions from updated soundings could shift outcomes toward 16–17°C, though current data show low likelihood of dropping to 14°C or below.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Milan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 30?
18°C 96%
14°C or below 5%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
$1,291 Wol.
$1,291 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
5%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
96%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 96%
14°C or below 5%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
$1,291 Wol.
$1,291 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
$12 Wol.
5%
15°C
$39 Wol.
1%
16°C
$169 Wol.
2%
17°C
$137 Wol.
2%
18°C
$704 Wol.
96%
19°C
$98 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$20 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$20 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$47 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$30 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including ECMWF and local Italian services indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for Milan on August 30, driven by clear skies, light winds, and stable high pressure limiting overnight cooling to typical late-summer levels. This aligns with the market-implied 95.5% probability on 18°C, reflecting trader consensus on observed trends and ensemble guidance rather than historical averages around 17–19°C. Official resolution depends on the precise station reading and daily minimum criteria. Unusually rapid radiative cooling under prolonged clear conditions or model revisions from updated soundings could shift outcomes toward 16–17°C, though current data show low likelihood of dropping to 14°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,291Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including ECMWF and local Italian services indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for Milan on August 30, driven by clear skies, light winds, and stable high pressure limiting overnight cooling to typical late-summer levels. This aligns with the market-implied 95.5% probability on 18°C, reflecting trader consensus on observed trends and ensemble guidance rather than historical averages around 17–19°C. Official resolution depends on the precise station reading and daily minimum criteria. Unusually rapid radiative cooling under prolonged clear conditions or model revisions from updated soundings could shift outcomes toward 16–17°C, though current data show low likelihood of dropping to 14°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,291Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including ECMWF and local Italian services indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for Milan on August 30, driven by clear skies, light winds, and stable high pressure limiting overnight cooling to typical late-summer levels. This aligns with the market-implied 95.5% probability on 18°C, reflecting trader consensus on observed trends and ensemble guidance rather than historical averages around 17–19°C. Official resolution depends on the precise station reading and daily minimum criteria. Unusually rapid radiative cooling under prolonged clear conditions or model revisions from updated soundings could shift outcomes toward 16–17°C, though current data show low likelihood of dropping to 14°C or below.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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