**Recent forecast updates from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a suppressed maximum of 26°C in Tokyo on August 30 due to persistent cloud cover, light northerly flow, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating.** This aligns with observed readings hovering near 25–27°C through the afternoon under overcast skies and high humidity, well below the climatological August average of ~31°C. Official guidance shows minimal diurnal rise expected as marine-influenced air and 30–50% precipitation probabilities through evening cap intensification. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 26°C reflects these verified conditions and late-day timing, with only major unforecasted clearing or model errors realistically shifting the outcome above 27°C before midnight resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 30?
26°C 99.8%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$68,676 Wol.
$68,676 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$68,676 Wol.
$68,676 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$2,920 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$5,589 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$9,025 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$10,454 Wol.
100%
27°C
$8,725 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$9,174 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$6,536 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$5,039 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,255 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$2,650 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$7,419 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast updates from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a suppressed maximum of 26°C in Tokyo on August 30 due to persistent cloud cover, light northerly flow, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating.** This aligns with observed readings hovering near 25–27°C through the afternoon under overcast skies and high humidity, well below the climatological August average of ~31°C. Official guidance shows minimal diurnal rise expected as marine-influenced air and 30–50% precipitation probabilities through evening cap intensification. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 26°C reflects these verified conditions and late-day timing, with only major unforecasted clearing or model errors realistically shifting the outcome above 27°C before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$68,676Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast updates from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a suppressed maximum of 26°C in Tokyo on August 30 due to persistent cloud cover, light northerly flow, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating.** This aligns with observed readings hovering near 25–27°C through the afternoon under overcast skies and high humidity, well below the climatological August average of ~31°C. Official guidance shows minimal diurnal rise expected as marine-influenced air and 30–50% precipitation probabilities through evening cap intensification. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 26°C reflects these verified conditions and late-day timing, with only major unforecasted clearing or model errors realistically shifting the outcome above 27°C before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$68,676Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast updates from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models indicate a suppressed maximum of 26°C in Tokyo on August 30 due to persistent cloud cover, light northerly flow, and scattered showers limiting daytime heating.** This aligns with observed readings hovering near 25–27°C through the afternoon under overcast skies and high humidity, well below the climatological August average of ~31°C. Official guidance shows minimal diurnal rise expected as marine-influenced air and 30–50% precipitation probabilities through evening cap intensification. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 26°C reflects these verified conditions and late-day timing, with only major unforecasted clearing or model errors realistically shifting the outcome above 27°C before midnight resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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