Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency point to overnight lows of 22–24°C in Tokyo on August 31 under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and high humidity near 85–95%, producing the tight market split between 23°C (43.5%) and 24°C (49%). Recent cooling from August 30’s observed 19.6°C minimum has moderated as a weak high-pressure ridge builds, limiting radiational cooling while preventing significant warm advection. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing overnight, with some runs favoring brief clearing that could push the minimum toward 24°C and others retaining more cover near 23°C. These near-term variables explain the narrow 5.5-point gap between the two leading outcomes ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?
24°C 49%
23°C 44%
22°C 9%
25°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
9%
23°C
44%
24°C
49%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 49%
23°C 44%
22°C 9%
25°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
20°C or below
$196 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$214 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$260 Wol.
9%
23°C
$734 Wol.
44%
24°C
$410 Wol.
49%
25°C
$1,546 Wol.
1%
26°C
$228 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$321 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$226 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$73 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,266 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency point to overnight lows of 22–24°C in Tokyo on August 31 under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and high humidity near 85–95%, producing the tight market split between 23°C (43.5%) and 24°C (49%). Recent cooling from August 30’s observed 19.6°C minimum has moderated as a weak high-pressure ridge builds, limiting radiational cooling while preventing significant warm advection. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing overnight, with some runs favoring brief clearing that could push the minimum toward 24°C and others retaining more cover near 23°C. These near-term variables explain the narrow 5.5-point gap between the two leading outcomes ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,475Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency point to overnight lows of 22–24°C in Tokyo on August 31 under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and high humidity near 85–95%, producing the tight market split between 23°C (43.5%) and 24°C (49%). Recent cooling from August 30’s observed 19.6°C minimum has moderated as a weak high-pressure ridge builds, limiting radiational cooling while preventing significant warm advection. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing overnight, with some runs favoring brief clearing that could push the minimum toward 24°C and others retaining more cover near 23°C. These near-term variables explain the narrow 5.5-point gap between the two leading outcomes ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,475Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency point to overnight lows of 22–24°C in Tokyo on August 31 under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly flow, and high humidity near 85–95%, producing the tight market split between 23°C (43.5%) and 24°C (49%). Recent cooling from August 30’s observed 19.6°C minimum has moderated as a weak high-pressure ridge builds, limiting radiational cooling while preventing significant warm advection. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing overnight, with some runs favoring brief clearing that could push the minimum toward 24°C and others retaining more cover near 23°C. These near-term variables explain the narrow 5.5-point gap between the two leading outcomes ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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