Persistent rain, thunderstorms, and thick cloud cover over Guangzhou on August 30 have sharply limited solar heating, keeping surface temperatures suppressed near or below 27°C according to official forecasts and observations. Subtropical humidity and northeasterly flow have maintained overcast skies with widespread precipitation, consistent with model consensus from sources such as the National Meteorological Center of China. This contrasts with typical late-August climatology, where average daily highs reach 32–33°C. The market-implied 97.4% probability for 27°C or below reflects trader assessment of these conditions. A rapid clearing of clouds or reduced rainfall could allow modest warming toward 28–29°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood before the daily maximum is reached.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
27°C or below 96.9%
28°C 2.6%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$60,037 Wol.
$60,037 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
97%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
27°C or below 96.9%
28°C 2.6%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$60,037 Wol.
$60,037 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
$20,472 Wol.
97%
28°C
$7,850 Wol.
3%
29°C
$4,685 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$6,834 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$4,620 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$4,205 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$5,664 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$4,514 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$3,138 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$579 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$321 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain, thunderstorms, and thick cloud cover over Guangzhou on August 30 have sharply limited solar heating, keeping surface temperatures suppressed near or below 27°C according to official forecasts and observations. Subtropical humidity and northeasterly flow have maintained overcast skies with widespread precipitation, consistent with model consensus from sources such as the National Meteorological Center of China. This contrasts with typical late-August climatology, where average daily highs reach 32–33°C. The market-implied 97.4% probability for 27°C or below reflects trader assessment of these conditions. A rapid clearing of clouds or reduced rainfall could allow modest warming toward 28–29°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood before the daily maximum is reached.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$60,037Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain, thunderstorms, and thick cloud cover over Guangzhou on August 30 have sharply limited solar heating, keeping surface temperatures suppressed near or below 27°C according to official forecasts and observations. Subtropical humidity and northeasterly flow have maintained overcast skies with widespread precipitation, consistent with model consensus from sources such as the National Meteorological Center of China. This contrasts with typical late-August climatology, where average daily highs reach 32–33°C. The market-implied 97.4% probability for 27°C or below reflects trader assessment of these conditions. A rapid clearing of clouds or reduced rainfall could allow modest warming toward 28–29°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood before the daily maximum is reached.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$60,037Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain, thunderstorms, and thick cloud cover over Guangzhou on August 30 have sharply limited solar heating, keeping surface temperatures suppressed near or below 27°C according to official forecasts and observations. Subtropical humidity and northeasterly flow have maintained overcast skies with widespread precipitation, consistent with model consensus from sources such as the National Meteorological Center of China. This contrasts with typical late-August climatology, where average daily highs reach 32–33°C. The market-implied 97.4% probability for 27°C or below reflects trader assessment of these conditions. A rapid clearing of clouds or reduced rainfall could allow modest warming toward 28–29°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood before the daily maximum is reached.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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