Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms associated with regional monsoon moisture are capping radiative heating in Guangzhou, keeping the August 31 maximum near the 33 °C climatological average. Latest model guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows afternoon peaks of 31–34 °C amid 70–90 % cloud fractions and 10–20 mm of rain, with northerly flow limiting boundary-layer mixing. High dew points near 25–26 °C further moderate surface warming despite the late-summer sun angle. Trader probabilities clustered around 32–34 °C reflect this narrow forecast envelope, with small shifts possible from the final 24-hour model runs or any unexpected clearing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 31?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 31?
33°C 30%
32°C 23%
34°C 21%
31°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
23%
33°C
30%
34°C
21%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 30%
32°C 23%
34°C 21%
31°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
$856 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,357 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,295 Wol.
1%
29°C
$590 Wol.
1%
30°C
$397 Wol.
4%
31°C
$266 Wol.
11%
32°C
$161 Wol.
23%
33°C
$316 Wol.
30%
34°C
$771 Wol.
21%
35°C
$1,031 Wol.
6%
36°C or higher
$214 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms associated with regional monsoon moisture are capping radiative heating in Guangzhou, keeping the August 31 maximum near the 33 °C climatological average. Latest model guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows afternoon peaks of 31–34 °C amid 70–90 % cloud fractions and 10–20 mm of rain, with northerly flow limiting boundary-layer mixing. High dew points near 25–26 °C further moderate surface warming despite the late-summer sun angle. Trader probabilities clustered around 32–34 °C reflect this narrow forecast envelope, with small shifts possible from the final 24-hour model runs or any unexpected clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,224Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms associated with regional monsoon moisture are capping radiative heating in Guangzhou, keeping the August 31 maximum near the 33 °C climatological average. Latest model guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows afternoon peaks of 31–34 °C amid 70–90 % cloud fractions and 10–20 mm of rain, with northerly flow limiting boundary-layer mixing. High dew points near 25–26 °C further moderate surface warming despite the late-summer sun angle. Trader probabilities clustered around 32–34 °C reflect this narrow forecast envelope, with small shifts possible from the final 24-hour model runs or any unexpected clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,224Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms associated with regional monsoon moisture are capping radiative heating in Guangzhou, keeping the August 31 maximum near the 33 °C climatological average. Latest model guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows afternoon peaks of 31–34 °C amid 70–90 % cloud fractions and 10–20 mm of rain, with northerly flow limiting boundary-layer mixing. High dew points near 25–26 °C further moderate surface warming despite the late-summer sun angle. Trader probabilities clustered around 32–34 °C reflect this narrow forecast envelope, with small shifts possible from the final 24-hour model runs or any unexpected clearing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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