Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over Guangdong and the northern South China Sea are suppressing daytime insolation and convective heating across Hong Kong, keeping maximum temperatures aligned with the market's near-certain 30°C outcome. Official HKO guidance and regional observations indicate highs around 30–31°C amid high humidity (75–95%) and frequent precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology where cloudiness routinely caps peaks near this level. Minor shifts in storm timing or reduced rainfall could briefly enhance solar heating and push readings to 31°C, though current model consensus and ongoing unsettled conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
30°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$88,624 Wol.
$88,624 Wol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$88,624 Wol.
$88,624 Wol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over Guangdong and the northern South China Sea are suppressing daytime insolation and convective heating across Hong Kong, keeping maximum temperatures aligned with the market's near-certain 30°C outcome. Official HKO guidance and regional observations indicate highs around 30–31°C amid high humidity (75–95%) and frequent precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology where cloudiness routinely caps peaks near this level. Minor shifts in storm timing or reduced rainfall could briefly enhance solar heating and push readings to 31°C, though current model consensus and ongoing unsettled conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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