Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate clear skies and light winds over Milan on August 31, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 21–23°C. High pressure and dew points around 15–18°C limit further drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical lows range 18–22°C. The closely bunched market-implied odds around 16–20°C reflect model spread and minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, while warmer bins remain discounted absent any incoming cooler air mass. Updated guidance through resolution will clarify whether observed minimums align with the consensus or trend lower under stronger nocturnal decoupling.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Milan on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 31?
23°C 48%
18°C 46%
16°C or below 33%
19°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
33%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
29%
20°C
28%
21°C
22%
22°C
23%
23°C
48%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
23°C 48%
18°C 46%
16°C or below 33%
19°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
16°C or below
$43 Wol.
33%
17°C
$0 Wol.
25%
18°C
$2 Wol.
27%
19°C
$0 Wol.
29%
20°C
$0 Wol.
28%
21°C
$0 Wol.
22%
22°C
$0 Wol.
23%
23°C
$5 Wol.
48%
24°C
$5 Wol.
2%
25°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$5 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate clear skies and light winds over Milan on August 31, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 21–23°C. High pressure and dew points around 15–18°C limit further drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical lows range 18–22°C. The closely bunched market-implied odds around 16–20°C reflect model spread and minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, while warmer bins remain discounted absent any incoming cooler air mass. Updated guidance through resolution will clarify whether observed minimums align with the consensus or trend lower under stronger nocturnal decoupling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$66Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate clear skies and light winds over Milan on August 31, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 21–23°C. High pressure and dew points around 15–18°C limit further drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical lows range 18–22°C. The closely bunched market-implied odds around 16–20°C reflect model spread and minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, while warmer bins remain discounted absent any incoming cooler air mass. Updated guidance through resolution will clarify whether observed minimums align with the consensus or trend lower under stronger nocturnal decoupling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$66Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate clear skies and light winds over Milan on August 31, supporting overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 21–23°C. High pressure and dew points around 15–18°C limit further drops, consistent with late-summer climatology where typical lows range 18–22°C. The closely bunched market-implied odds around 16–20°C reflect model spread and minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, while warmer bins remain discounted absent any incoming cooler air mass. Updated guidance through resolution will clarify whether observed minimums align with the consensus or trend lower under stronger nocturnal decoupling.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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