Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies converge on a daily maximum near 30°C in São Paulo, driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass that has elevated temperatures above seasonal norms during the final days of a late-August heat episode. Official guidance highlights mostly sunny skies, light winds, and relative humidity dropping toward 30% in the afternoon, supporting peak readings around this level without significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. Model outputs show limited spread, with the warm spell expected to break after Monday as a front brings rain and lower temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, resulting in the strongest implied probability clustering at 29–30°C as the day’s observational data finalize.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
30°C 63%
31°C 27%
29°C 11%
32°C 5%
$33,820 Wol.
$33,820 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
11%
30°C
56%
31°C
27%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
30°C 63%
31°C 27%
29°C 11%
32°C 5%
$33,820 Wol.
$33,820 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$8,784 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$2,317 Wol.
11%
30°C
$3,814 Wol.
56%
31°C
$1,793 Wol.
27%
32°C
$4,089 Wol.
5%
33°C
$2,427 Wol.
2%
34°C
$2,273 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$4,271 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$1,411 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$1,469 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,172 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies converge on a daily maximum near 30°C in São Paulo, driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass that has elevated temperatures above seasonal norms during the final days of a late-August heat episode. Official guidance highlights mostly sunny skies, light winds, and relative humidity dropping toward 30% in the afternoon, supporting peak readings around this level without significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. Model outputs show limited spread, with the warm spell expected to break after Monday as a front brings rain and lower temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, resulting in the strongest implied probability clustering at 29–30°C as the day’s observational data finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$33,820Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies converge on a daily maximum near 30°C in São Paulo, driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass that has elevated temperatures above seasonal norms during the final days of a late-August heat episode. Official guidance highlights mostly sunny skies, light winds, and relative humidity dropping toward 30% in the afternoon, supporting peak readings around this level without significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. Model outputs show limited spread, with the warm spell expected to break after Monday as a front brings rain and lower temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, resulting in the strongest implied probability clustering at 29–30°C as the day’s observational data finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$33,820Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies converge on a daily maximum near 30°C in São Paulo, driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass that has elevated temperatures above seasonal norms during the final days of a late-August heat episode. Official guidance highlights mostly sunny skies, light winds, and relative humidity dropping toward 30% in the afternoon, supporting peak readings around this level without significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. Model outputs show limited spread, with the warm spell expected to break after Monday as a front brings rain and lower temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, resulting in the strongest implied probability clustering at 29–30°C as the day’s observational data finalize.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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