**A warm, dry air mass has driven above-average temperatures across São Paulo in late August 2026, with recent daily highs frequently reaching 30–32°C under mostly clear skies and low humidity.** Official monitoring shows this pattern persisting into the final days of the month, supported by subsidence and northerly flow. However, an approaching cold front is expected to increase cloud cover and introduce a marine influence by late August 31, potentially capping afternoon temperatures. Forecast models show some spread, with several international guidance products indicating highs near 28–30°C while certain local runs project 32–34°C; the approaching frontal boundary and timing of any sea breeze add uncertainty to peak values. Historical August maxima in São Paulo typically average around 24–26°C, making the current anomaly notable but consistent with the seasonal transition. Market-implied odds favor outcomes at or below 29°C, reflecting trader emphasis on moderation from the incoming synoptic change ahead of cooler, wetter conditions forecast for early September.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31?
29°C or below 56%
30°C 16%
31°C 13%
32°C 9%
NOWE
$17,512 Wol.
NOWE
$17,512 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
56%
30°C
16%
31°C
13%
32°C
9%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
29°C or below 56%
30°C 16%
31°C 13%
32°C 9%
NOWE
$17,512 Wol.
NOWE
$17,512 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
$6,722 Wol.
56%
30°C
$671 Wol.
16%
31°C
$908 Wol.
13%
32°C
$690 Wol.
9%
33°C
$649 Wol.
6%
34°C
$592 Wol.
3%
35°C
$954 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$3,091 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$1,781 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$1,248 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$206 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A warm, dry air mass has driven above-average temperatures across São Paulo in late August 2026, with recent daily highs frequently reaching 30–32°C under mostly clear skies and low humidity.** Official monitoring shows this pattern persisting into the final days of the month, supported by subsidence and northerly flow. However, an approaching cold front is expected to increase cloud cover and introduce a marine influence by late August 31, potentially capping afternoon temperatures. Forecast models show some spread, with several international guidance products indicating highs near 28–30°C while certain local runs project 32–34°C; the approaching frontal boundary and timing of any sea breeze add uncertainty to peak values. Historical August maxima in São Paulo typically average around 24–26°C, making the current anomaly notable but consistent with the seasonal transition. Market-implied odds favor outcomes at or below 29°C, reflecting trader emphasis on moderation from the incoming synoptic change ahead of cooler, wetter conditions forecast for early September.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,512Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A warm, dry air mass has driven above-average temperatures across São Paulo in late August 2026, with recent daily highs frequently reaching 30–32°C under mostly clear skies and low humidity.** Official monitoring shows this pattern persisting into the final days of the month, supported by subsidence and northerly flow. However, an approaching cold front is expected to increase cloud cover and introduce a marine influence by late August 31, potentially capping afternoon temperatures. Forecast models show some spread, with several international guidance products indicating highs near 28–30°C while certain local runs project 32–34°C; the approaching frontal boundary and timing of any sea breeze add uncertainty to peak values. Historical August maxima in São Paulo typically average around 24–26°C, making the current anomaly notable but consistent with the seasonal transition. Market-implied odds favor outcomes at or below 29°C, reflecting trader emphasis on moderation from the incoming synoptic change ahead of cooler, wetter conditions forecast for early September.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$17,512Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**A warm, dry air mass has driven above-average temperatures across São Paulo in late August 2026, with recent daily highs frequently reaching 30–32°C under mostly clear skies and low humidity.** Official monitoring shows this pattern persisting into the final days of the month, supported by subsidence and northerly flow. However, an approaching cold front is expected to increase cloud cover and introduce a marine influence by late August 31, potentially capping afternoon temperatures. Forecast models show some spread, with several international guidance products indicating highs near 28–30°C while certain local runs project 32–34°C; the approaching frontal boundary and timing of any sea breeze add uncertainty to peak values. Historical August maxima in São Paulo typically average around 24–26°C, making the current anomaly notable but consistent with the seasonal transition. Market-implied odds favor outcomes at or below 29°C, reflecting trader emphasis on moderation from the incoming synoptic change ahead of cooler, wetter conditions forecast for early September.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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