Recent model consensus from sources including AEMET and European guidance points to a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light northeasterly flow over Madrid on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 33–34 °C through strong diurnal heating on the central plateau. Late-summer climatology shows typical highs of 30–32 °C, but the current pattern lacks significant cloud cover or Atlantic moisture that would suppress peak temperatures. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with limited risk of either a 35 °C spike from enhanced insolation or a cooler 32 °C outcome under slightly stronger mixing, aligning trader probabilities with the most likely observed range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on August 31?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 31?
34°C 62%
33°C 21%
35°C 19%
32°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
21%
34°C
62%
35°C
19%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 62%
33°C 21%
35°C 19%
32°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
$432 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$170 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$148 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$264 Wol.
2%
33°C
$1,510 Wol.
21%
34°C
$1,241 Wol.
62%
35°C
$2,074 Wol.
19%
36°C
$318 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$124 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$221 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$138 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including AEMET and European guidance points to a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light northeasterly flow over Madrid on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 33–34 °C through strong diurnal heating on the central plateau. Late-summer climatology shows typical highs of 30–32 °C, but the current pattern lacks significant cloud cover or Atlantic moisture that would suppress peak temperatures. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with limited risk of either a 35 °C spike from enhanced insolation or a cooler 32 °C outcome under slightly stronger mixing, aligning trader probabilities with the most likely observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,641Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including AEMET and European guidance points to a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light northeasterly flow over Madrid on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 33–34 °C through strong diurnal heating on the central plateau. Late-summer climatology shows typical highs of 30–32 °C, but the current pattern lacks significant cloud cover or Atlantic moisture that would suppress peak temperatures. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with limited risk of either a 35 °C spike from enhanced insolation or a cooler 32 °C outcome under slightly stronger mixing, aligning trader probabilities with the most likely observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,641Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including AEMET and European guidance points to a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light northeasterly flow over Madrid on August 31, supporting a daily maximum near 33–34 °C through strong diurnal heating on the central plateau. Late-summer climatology shows typical highs of 30–32 °C, but the current pattern lacks significant cloud cover or Atlantic moisture that would suppress peak temperatures. Forecast spreads remain narrow, with limited risk of either a 35 °C spike from enhanced insolation or a cooler 32 °C outcome under slightly stronger mixing, aligning trader probabilities with the most likely observed range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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