Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and real-time observations across Madrid stations, including Retiro and Barajas Airport, have shown peak temperatures stabilizing near 33 °C on August 30 amid clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and a post-cool-spell warming trend that lifted maxima roughly 9 °C from earlier in the week. This consensus, consistent with climatological averages around 30 °C and model runs projecting 32–33 °C for the capital, underpins the market’s 99.8 % implied probability on 33 °C. Only an unexpected late-afternoon surge above 34 °C or a downward revision in final validated station data could realistically shift resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 30?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$30,658 Wol.
$30,658 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$30,658 Wol.
$30,658 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
28°C or below
$1,363 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$292 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$500 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,150 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$7,777 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$8,155 Wol.
100%
34°C
$7,746 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$1,865 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$499 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$1,120 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$191 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and real-time observations across Madrid stations, including Retiro and Barajas Airport, have shown peak temperatures stabilizing near 33 °C on August 30 amid clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and a post-cool-spell warming trend that lifted maxima roughly 9 °C from earlier in the week. This consensus, consistent with climatological averages around 30 °C and model runs projecting 32–33 °C for the capital, underpins the market’s 99.8 % implied probability on 33 °C. Only an unexpected late-afternoon surge above 34 °C or a downward revision in final validated station data could realistically shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$30,658Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and real-time observations across Madrid stations, including Retiro and Barajas Airport, have shown peak temperatures stabilizing near 33 °C on August 30 amid clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and a post-cool-spell warming trend that lifted maxima roughly 9 °C from earlier in the week. This consensus, consistent with climatological averages around 30 °C and model runs projecting 32–33 °C for the capital, underpins the market’s 99.8 % implied probability on 33 °C. Only an unexpected late-afternoon surge above 34 °C or a downward revision in final validated station data could realistically shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$30,658Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and real-time observations across Madrid stations, including Retiro and Barajas Airport, have shown peak temperatures stabilizing near 33 °C on August 30 amid clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and a post-cool-spell warming trend that lifted maxima roughly 9 °C from earlier in the week. This consensus, consistent with climatological averages around 30 °C and model runs projecting 32–33 °C for the capital, underpins the market’s 99.8 % implied probability on 33 °C. Only an unexpected late-afternoon surge above 34 °C or a downward revision in final validated station data could realistically shift resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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