Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate daytime highs likely peaking near 22–23°C on August 31 under variable cloud cover, light southwest winds, and low-to-moderate precipitation chances, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Model consensus from sources like GFS and regional agencies shows surface heating limited by afternoon cloud build-up and possible scattered showers, with pressure near 762 mmHg and humidity supporting modest convective activity. Historical late-August averages hover around 20–22°C, so any clearing skies or stronger southerly flow could push readings toward 23–24°C, while increased cloudiness or earlier rain would cap them nearer 22°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official updates, where small shifts in timing or intensity of these factors determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 31?
22°C 45%
23°C 44%
21°C 7%
24°C 5%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
45%
23°C
44%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 44%
21°C 7%
24°C 5%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
45%
23°C
44%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate daytime highs likely peaking near 22–23°C on August 31 under variable cloud cover, light southwest winds, and low-to-moderate precipitation chances, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes. Model consensus from sources like GFS and regional agencies shows surface heating limited by afternoon cloud build-up and possible scattered showers, with pressure near 762 mmHg and humidity supporting modest convective activity. Historical late-August averages hover around 20–22°C, so any clearing skies or stronger southerly flow could push readings toward 23–24°C, while increased cloudiness or earlier rain would cap them nearer 22°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official updates, where small shifts in timing or intensity of these factors determine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania