**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and supporting numerical models project a daytime maximum of 20–22°C in Moscow on August 30, 2026, under cloudy skies with periods of light rain and southerly winds of 2–11 m/s.** This aligns with current afternoon observations near 21–22°C and places the outcome squarely at the 22°C threshold. The market's near-100% implied probability for exactly 22°C reflects trader consensus around these verified model outputs and station data, rather than historical averages (typically ~20°C high for the date). Realistic challenges include minor revisions from final official station readings due to timing, localized variations, or model spread, though current conditions show strong convergence on this value.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,310 Wol.
$20,310 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$20,310 Wol.
$20,310 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$335 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$358 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$798 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$1,374 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$3,740 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$3,634 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$4,346 Wol.
100%
23°C
$3,048 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$1,495 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$969 Wol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$215 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and supporting numerical models project a daytime maximum of 20–22°C in Moscow on August 30, 2026, under cloudy skies with periods of light rain and southerly winds of 2–11 m/s.** This aligns with current afternoon observations near 21–22°C and places the outcome squarely at the 22°C threshold. The market's near-100% implied probability for exactly 22°C reflects trader consensus around these verified model outputs and station data, rather than historical averages (typically ~20°C high for the date).
Realistic challenges include minor revisions from final official station readings due to timing, localized variations, or model spread, though current conditions show strong convergence on this value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$20,310Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and supporting numerical models project a daytime maximum of 20–22°C in Moscow on August 30, 2026, under cloudy skies with periods of light rain and southerly winds of 2–11 m/s.** This aligns with current afternoon observations near 21–22°C and places the outcome squarely at the 22°C threshold. The market's near-100% implied probability for exactly 22°C reflects trader consensus around these verified model outputs and station data, rather than historical averages (typically ~20°C high for the date).
Realistic challenges include minor revisions from final official station readings due to timing, localized variations, or model spread, though current conditions show strong convergence on this value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20,310Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and supporting numerical models project a daytime maximum of 20–22°C in Moscow on August 30, 2026, under cloudy skies with periods of light rain and southerly winds of 2–11 m/s.** This aligns with current afternoon observations near 21–22°C and places the outcome squarely at the 22°C threshold. The market's near-100% implied probability for exactly 22°C reflects trader consensus around these verified model outputs and station data, rather than historical averages (typically ~20°C high for the date). Realistic challenges include minor revisions from final official station readings due to timing, localized variations, or model spread, though current conditions show strong convergence on this value.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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