Forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler air mass arriving over São Paulo by early September, driven by southerly flow ahead of a frontal system, producing minimum temperatures clustered around 11–13 °C on September 2. This aligns with climatological September lows near 12 °C while reflecting recent model consensus on limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Traders’ closely matched probabilities across 10–13 °C outcomes reflect remaining uncertainty in exact overnight minimums, which hinge on the timing of any cloud breaks or wind shifts; official updates from Brazilian meteorological agencies and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 2?
16°C 49%
17°C 44%
18°C 44%
13°C 30%
9°C or below
17%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
30%
14°C
26%
15°C
25%
16°C
49%
17°C
44%
18°C
44%
19°C or higher
8%
16°C 49%
17°C 44%
18°C 44%
13°C 30%
9°C or below
17%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
30%
14°C
26%
15°C
25%
16°C
49%
17°C
44%
18°C
44%
19°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooler air mass arriving over São Paulo by early September, driven by southerly flow ahead of a frontal system, producing minimum temperatures clustered around 11–13 °C on September 2. This aligns with climatological September lows near 12 °C while reflecting recent model consensus on limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Traders’ closely matched probabilities across 10–13 °C outcomes reflect remaining uncertainty in exact overnight minimums, which hinge on the timing of any cloud breaks or wind shifts; official updates from Brazilian meteorological agencies and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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