Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and modest Atlantic moisture are limiting diurnal heating after overnight lows near 17°C, preventing the stronger insolation needed for 25°C or higher. This setup matches late-August climatology, with average highs near 23–24°C and no heatwave or clear-sky amplification in the current synoptic pattern. Minor model spread around afternoon cloud breaks or brief showers introduces the small but notable probability mass on 22°C, while probabilities below 22°C or above 25°C reflect low likelihood of significant deviations. Updated NWP runs through the evening of August 30 will refine the exact peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 31?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 31?
23°C 54%
24°C 29%
22°C 14%
25°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
14%
23°C
54%
24°C
29%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 54%
24°C 29%
22°C 14%
25°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
$169 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$199 Wol.
1%
21°C
$591 Wol.
1%
22°C
$1,857 Wol.
14%
23°C
$2,212 Wol.
54%
24°C
$1,403 Wol.
29%
25°C
$1,324 Wol.
3%
26°C
$889 Wol.
2%
27°C
$120 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$340 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$736 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and modest Atlantic moisture are limiting diurnal heating after overnight lows near 17°C, preventing the stronger insolation needed for 25°C or higher. This setup matches late-August climatology, with average highs near 23–24°C and no heatwave or clear-sky amplification in the current synoptic pattern. Minor model spread around afternoon cloud breaks or brief showers introduces the small but notable probability mass on 22°C, while probabilities below 22°C or above 25°C reflect low likelihood of significant deviations. Updated NWP runs through the evening of August 30 will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,841Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and modest Atlantic moisture are limiting diurnal heating after overnight lows near 17°C, preventing the stronger insolation needed for 25°C or higher. This setup matches late-August climatology, with average highs near 23–24°C and no heatwave or clear-sky amplification in the current synoptic pattern. Minor model spread around afternoon cloud breaks or brief showers introduces the small but notable probability mass on 22°C, while probabilities below 22°C or above 25°C reflect low likelihood of significant deviations. Updated NWP runs through the evening of August 30 will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,841Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in Paris on August 31, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and modest Atlantic moisture are limiting diurnal heating after overnight lows near 17°C, preventing the stronger insolation needed for 25°C or higher. This setup matches late-August climatology, with average highs near 23–24°C and no heatwave or clear-sky amplification in the current synoptic pattern. Minor model spread around afternoon cloud breaks or brief showers introduces the small but notable probability mass on 22°C, while probabilities below 22°C or above 25°C reflect low likelihood of significant deviations. Updated NWP runs through the evening of August 30 will refine the exact peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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