**Forecasts from major models including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a daytime high near 24°C in Munich on August 31, with morning showers or thunderstorms giving way to partial clearing and westerly winds.** This setup, combined with moderate humidity around 50-60% and limited afternoon sunshine, supports the strong market weighting toward 25°C (64%) and 24°C (20.5%). Recent runs show ensemble spread mainly between 23–25°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-day warming. The outcome sits slightly above the long-term average high of 22.4°C for the date, driven by the current warm spell on August 30 rather than any unusual heat advection. Updated model guidance or official station readings from the German Weather Service will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 31?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 31?
25°C 64%
24°C 21%
26°C 15%
23°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
21%
25°C
64%
26°C
15%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 64%
24°C 21%
26°C 15%
23°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
$1,461 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$481 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$98 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$103 Wol.
1%
22°C
$50 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$155 Wol.
3%
24°C
$179 Wol.
21%
25°C
$1,499 Wol.
64%
26°C
$459 Wol.
15%
27°C
$645 Wol.
2%
28°C or higher
$672 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from major models including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a daytime high near 24°C in Munich on August 31, with morning showers or thunderstorms giving way to partial clearing and westerly winds.** This setup, combined with moderate humidity around 50-60% and limited afternoon sunshine, supports the strong market weighting toward 25°C (64%) and 24°C (20.5%). Recent runs show ensemble spread mainly between 23–25°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-day warming. The outcome sits slightly above the long-term average high of 22.4°C for the date, driven by the current warm spell on August 30 rather than any unusual heat advection. Updated model guidance or official station readings from the German Weather Service will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,803Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from major models including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a daytime high near 24°C in Munich on August 31, with morning showers or thunderstorms giving way to partial clearing and westerly winds.** This setup, combined with moderate humidity around 50-60% and limited afternoon sunshine, supports the strong market weighting toward 25°C (64%) and 24°C (20.5%). Recent runs show ensemble spread mainly between 23–25°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-day warming. The outcome sits slightly above the long-term average high of 22.4°C for the date, driven by the current warm spell on August 30 rather than any unusual heat advection. Updated model guidance or official station readings from the German Weather Service will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,803Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from major models including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a daytime high near 24°C in Munich on August 31, with morning showers or thunderstorms giving way to partial clearing and westerly winds.** This setup, combined with moderate humidity around 50-60% and limited afternoon sunshine, supports the strong market weighting toward 25°C (64%) and 24°C (20.5%). Recent runs show ensemble spread mainly between 23–25°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-day warming. The outcome sits slightly above the long-term average high of 22.4°C for the date, driven by the current warm spell on August 30 rather than any unusual heat advection. Updated model guidance or official station readings from the German Weather Service will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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