Trump's rhetorical references to Venezuela as a potential 51st state, including social media posts with flag-colored maps, have generated limited discussion but no legislative or diplomatic follow-through. Statehood requires congressional action under Article IV of the U.S. Constitution, typically applied to organized territories rather than sovereign nations, while Venezuelan officials have rejected the notion outright. The tight resolution window ending December 31, 2026, combined with entrenched barriers around sovereignty, international law, and domestic political consensus, underpins trader pricing near 98% for no annexation. Even amid broader U.S.-Venezuela tensions or leadership changes, formal integration would demand sustained bipartisan support and procedural steps absent from current developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
2% 確率
$392,569 Vol.
$392,569 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
2% 確率
$392,569 Vol.
$392,569 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's rhetorical references to Venezuela as a potential 51st state, including social media posts with flag-colored maps, have generated limited discussion but no legislative or diplomatic follow-through. Statehood requires congressional action under Article IV of the U.S. Constitution, typically applied to organized territories rather than sovereign nations, while Venezuelan officials have rejected the notion outright. The tight resolution window ending December 31, 2026, combined with entrenched barriers around sovereignty, international law, and domestic political consensus, underpins trader pricing near 98% for no annexation. Even amid broader U.S.-Venezuela tensions or leadership changes, formal integration would demand sustained bipartisan support and procedural steps absent from current developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
音量
$392,569終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's rhetorical references to Venezuela as a potential 51st state, including social media posts with flag-colored maps, have generated limited discussion but no legislative or diplomatic follow-through. Statehood requires congressional action under Article IV of the U.S. Constitution, typically applied to organized territories rather than sovereign nations, while Venezuelan officials have rejected the notion outright. The tight resolution window ending December 31, 2026, combined with entrenched barriers around sovereignty, international law, and domestic political consensus, underpins trader pricing near 98% for no annexation. Even amid broader U.S.-Venezuela tensions or leadership changes, formal integration would demand sustained bipartisan support and procedural steps absent from current developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$392,569終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's rhetorical references to Venezuela as a potential 51st state, including social media posts with flag-colored maps, have generated limited discussion but no legislative or diplomatic follow-through. Statehood requires congressional action under Article IV of the U.S. Constitution, typically applied to organized territories rather than sovereign nations, while Venezuelan officials have rejected the notion outright. The tight resolution window ending December 31, 2026, combined with entrenched barriers around sovereignty, international law, and domestic political consensus, underpins trader pricing near 98% for no annexation. Even amid broader U.S.-Venezuela tensions or leadership changes, formal integration would demand sustained bipartisan support and procedural steps absent from current developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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