Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent seeking re-election as Sergipe governor, holds the clearest lead in recent polling averages and benefits from established name recognition, administrative resources, and broad party alliances ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Multiple July-August surveys show him at 37-46% in stimulated scenarios against main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, with margins often exceeding 10 points and some projections indicating a possible first-round majority. The remaining candidates, including Ricardo Marques of the PL, Emanuel Cacho of the PSDB, Dr. Helton of the PSOL, and Taty Cristina of the DC, register low single-digit or negligible support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these patterns, though the final outcome remains subject to turnout, late campaign dynamics, and any shifts in the two-round system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ファビオ 73%
ヴァルミール・ジ・フランシスキーニョ 18%
タチ・クリスティーナ・デ・ジーザス <1%
エマヌエル・カショ <1%
$10,749 Vol.
$10,749 Vol.
2026/10/04
ファビオ
73%
ヴァルミール・ジ・フランシスキーニョ
18%
タチ・クリスティーナ・デ・ジーザス
1%
エマヌエル・カショ
1%
ドクター・ヘルトン
<1%
リカルド・マルケス
<1%
ファビオ 73%
ヴァルミール・ジ・フランシスキーニョ 18%
タチ・クリスティーナ・デ・ジーザス <1%
エマヌエル・カショ <1%
$10,749 Vol.
$10,749 Vol.
2026/10/04
ファビオ
$8,247 Vol.
73%
ヴァルミール・ジ・フランシスキーニョ
$941 Vol.
18%
タチ・クリスティーナ・デ・ジーザス
$330 Vol.
1%
エマヌエル・カショ
$391 Vol.
1%
ドクター・ヘルトン
$455 Vol.
<1%
リカルド・マルケス
$385 Vol.
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent seeking re-election as Sergipe governor, holds the clearest lead in recent polling averages and benefits from established name recognition, administrative resources, and broad party alliances ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Multiple July-August surveys show him at 37-46% in stimulated scenarios against main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, with margins often exceeding 10 points and some projections indicating a possible first-round majority. The remaining candidates, including Ricardo Marques of the PL, Emanuel Cacho of the PSDB, Dr. Helton of the PSOL, and Taty Cristina of the DC, register low single-digit or negligible support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these patterns, though the final outcome remains subject to turnout, late campaign dynamics, and any shifts in the two-round system.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
音量
$10,749終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent seeking re-election as Sergipe governor, holds the clearest lead in recent polling averages and benefits from established name recognition, administrative resources, and broad party alliances ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Multiple July-August surveys show him at 37-46% in stimulated scenarios against main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, with margins often exceeding 10 points and some projections indicating a possible first-round majority. The remaining candidates, including Ricardo Marques of the PL, Emanuel Cacho of the PSDB, Dr. Helton of the PSOL, and Taty Cristina of the DC, register low single-digit or negligible support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these patterns, though the final outcome remains subject to turnout, late campaign dynamics, and any shifts in the two-round system.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$10,749終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent seeking re-election as Sergipe governor, holds the clearest lead in recent polling averages and benefits from established name recognition, administrative resources, and broad party alliances ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Multiple July-August surveys show him at 37-46% in stimulated scenarios against main challenger Valmir de Francisquinho of the Republicanos, with margins often exceeding 10 points and some projections indicating a possible first-round majority. The remaining candidates, including Ricardo Marques of the PL, Emanuel Cacho of the PSDB, Dr. Helton of the PSOL, and Taty Cristina of the DC, register low single-digit or negligible support. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these patterns, though the final outcome remains subject to turnout, late campaign dynamics, and any shifts in the two-round system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問