Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá governor race due to consistent polling margins exceeding 30 points over incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) across multiple July surveys, with first-round support often above 60%. Traders price his victory at 92.5% amid his active August campaign of municipal walks and meetings emphasizing infrastructure, health, education, and oil exploration opportunities from the Foz do Amazonas discovery. Other listed candidates trail with low single-digit or negligible shares. Potential shifts could arise from turnout variations, late legal developments, or campaign momentum changes before the October 4 first round, though current polling trends and voter preference patterns support the dominant positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フルラン博士 93%
マルコス・レアテギ 3.3%
クレシオ・ルイス 3.0%
ジャイロ・パルヘタ 2.6%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
フルラン博士
93%
マルコス・レアテギ
3%
クレシオ・ルイス
3%
ジャイロ・パルヘタ
3%
カルロス・クレイ
1%
フルラン博士 93%
マルコス・レアテギ 3.3%
クレシオ・ルイス 3.0%
ジャイロ・パルヘタ 2.6%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
フルラン博士
$1,220 Vol.
93%
マルコス・レアテギ
$209 Vol.
3%
クレシオ・ルイス
$169 Vol.
3%
ジャイロ・パルヘタ
$374 Vol.
3%
カルロス・クレイ
$128 Vol.
1%
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá governor race due to consistent polling margins exceeding 30 points over incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) across multiple July surveys, with first-round support often above 60%. Traders price his victory at 92.5% amid his active August campaign of municipal walks and meetings emphasizing infrastructure, health, education, and oil exploration opportunities from the Foz do Amazonas discovery. Other listed candidates trail with low single-digit or negligible shares. Potential shifts could arise from turnout variations, late legal developments, or campaign momentum changes before the October 4 first round, though current polling trends and voter preference patterns support the dominant positioning.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
音量
$2,101終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá governor race due to consistent polling margins exceeding 30 points over incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) across multiple July surveys, with first-round support often above 60%. Traders price his victory at 92.5% amid his active August campaign of municipal walks and meetings emphasizing infrastructure, health, education, and oil exploration opportunities from the Foz do Amazonas discovery. Other listed candidates trail with low single-digit or negligible shares. Potential shifts could arise from turnout variations, late legal developments, or campaign momentum changes before the October 4 first round, though current polling trends and voter preference patterns support the dominant positioning.
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$2,101終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds a commanding lead in the Amapá governor race due to consistent polling margins exceeding 30 points over incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) across multiple July surveys, with first-round support often above 60%. Traders price his victory at 92.5% amid his active August campaign of municipal walks and meetings emphasizing infrastructure, health, education, and oil exploration opportunities from the Foz do Amazonas discovery. Other listed candidates trail with low single-digit or negligible shares. Potential shifts could arise from turnout variations, late legal developments, or campaign momentum changes before the October 4 first round, though current polling trends and voter preference patterns support the dominant positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問