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icon for NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

マウラ・サリバン 82%

ステファニー・シェーン 17%

カーリー・ベリオント 3.4%

ヒース・ハワード <1%

Polymarket

$112,095 Vol.

マウラ・サリバン 82%

ステファニー・シェーン 17%

カーリー・ベリオント 3.4%

ヒース・ハワード <1%

Polymarket

$112,095 Vol.

icon for マウラ・サリバン

マウラ・サリバン

$47,668 Vol.

82%

icon for ステファニー・シェーン

ステファニー・シェーン

$41,980 Vol.

17%

icon for カーリー・ベリオント

カーリー・ベリオント

$18,292 Vol.

3%

icon for ヒース・ハワード

ヒース・ハワード

$4,154 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Maura Sullivan has emerged as the clear frontrunner in New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for September 8, due to her consistent fundraising dominance—raising over $3.3 million compared to Stefany Shaheen’s roughly $2.2 million—and recent polling gains that show her leading or tied among likely voters. Sullivan, a Marine veteran and former Obama administration official, has drawn endorsements from veterans groups and positioned herself on national security and cost-of-living issues, while Shaheen’s early name-recognition advantage as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen has been offset by attacks on outside donors and slower momentum. Carleigh Beriont has consolidated some progressive support following state Rep. Heath Howard’s withdrawal and endorsement, though she remains a distant third. High undecided shares and heavy outside spending underscore the race’s volatility ahead of primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$112,095
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Maura Sullivan has emerged as the clear frontrunner in New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for September 8, due to her consistent fundraising dominance—raising over $3.3 million compared to Stefany Shaheen’s roughly $2.2 million—and recent polling gains that show her leading or tied among likely voters. Sullivan, a Marine veteran and former Obama administration official, has drawn endorsements from veterans groups and positioned herself on national security and cost-of-living issues, while Shaheen’s early name-recognition advantage as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen has been offset by attacks on outside donors and slower momentum. Carleigh Beriont has consolidated some progressive support following state Rep. Heath Howard’s withdrawal and endorsement, though she remains a distant third. High undecided shares and heavy outside spending underscore the race’s volatility ahead of primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$112,095
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マウラ・サリバン」で82%、次いで「ステファニー・シェーン」が17%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、82¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に82%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$112.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マウラ・サリバン」で82%であり、市場がこの結果に82%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ステファニー・シェーン」で17%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NH -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。