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icon for 次のリーダーは2027年までに権力を失いますか？ （スターマー、ペトロは不可）
地政学·英国労働党のリーダーシップ

次のリーダーは2027年までに権力を失いますか？ （スターマー、ペトロは不可）

icon for 次のリーダーは2027年までに権力を失いますか？ （スターマー、ペトロは不可）
地政学·英国労働党のリーダーシップ

次のリーダーは2027年までに権力を失いますか？ （スターマー、ペトロは不可）

1月 1, 2027

1月 1, 2027

ネタニヤフ - イスラエル首相 40%

2027年以前はいない 36%

ロドリゲス - ベネズエラ暫定大統領 4.8%

ディアス＝カネル - キューバ大統領 4.3%

Polymarket

$264,562 Vol.

ネタニヤフ - イスラエル首相 40%

2027年以前はいない 36%

ロドリゲス - ベネズエラ暫定大統領 4.8%

ディアス＝カネル - キューバ大統領 4.3%

Polymarket

$264,562 Vol.

ネタニヤフ - イスラエル首相

$28,998 Vol.

40%

2027年以前はいない

$87,788 Vol.

36%

ロドリゲス - ベネズエラ暫定大統領

$12,254 Vol.

5%

ディアス＝カネル - キューバ大統領

$11,188 Vol.

4%

ゼレンスキー - ウクライナ大統領

$6,649 Vol.

3%

サンチェス - スペイン首相

$7,405 Vol.

3%

マクロン - フランス大統領

$9,989 Vol.

3%

エルドアン - トルコ大統領

$10,105 Vol.

2%

ルラ・ダ・シルヴァ - ブラジル大統領

$6,523 Vol.

2%

トランプ - アメリカ合衆国大統領

$5,243 Vol.

1%

プーチン - ロシア大統領

$6,377 Vol.

1%

アッバス - パレスチナ大統領

$7,327 Vol.

1%

習近平 - 中国共産党中央委員会総書記

$9,114 Vol.

1%

メルツ - ドイツ首相

$5,676 Vol.

1%

高市 - 日本首相

$5,436 Vol.

1%

ルコルニュ - フランス首相

$6,835 Vol.

1%

ニューサム - カリフォルニア州知事

$4,632 Vol.

1%

金正恩 - 北朝鮮の最高指導者

$4,953 Vol.

<1%

アルバニージー - オーストラリア首相

$6,530 Vol.

<1%

シャラー - シリア大統領

$7,918 Vol.

<1%

シェインバウム - メキシコ大統領

$6,737 Vol.

<1%

ミレイ - アルゼンチン大統領

$6,885 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Netanyahu leads this market at 39.5% amid Israel's October 27, 2026, elections, where his Likud-led coalition trails rivals in polling and faces Knesset dissolution pressures, far-right infighting over party mergers, and public fatigue from prolonged conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and with Iran. Recent maneuvers, including attempts to consolidate the right-wing vote and legislative pushes on judicial matters, have not closed the gap with challengers like Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. "None before 2027" sits close at 35.5% because most other listed leaders, from Rodríguez in Venezuela to entrenched figures in Cuba, Ukraine, and beyond, hold structurally stable positions with limited near-term removal risks. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty over election timing, coalition formation delays, and potential security developments that could alter outcomes before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$264,562
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Netanyahu leads this market at 39.5% amid Israel's October 27, 2026, elections, where his Likud-led coalition trails rivals in polling and faces Knesset dissolution pressures, far-right infighting over party mergers, and public fatigue from prolonged conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and with Iran. Recent maneuvers, including attempts to consolidate the right-wing vote and legislative pushes on judicial matters, have not closed the gap with challengers like Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. "None before 2027" sits close at 35.5% because most other listed leaders, from Rodríguez in Venezuela to entrenched figures in Cuba, Ukraine, and beyond, hold structurally stable positions with limited near-term removal risks. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty over election timing, coalition formation delays, and potential security developments that could alter outcomes before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$264,562
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「次のリーダーは2027年までに権力を失いますか？ （スターマー、ペトロは不可）」はPolymarket上の22個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ネタニヤフ - イスラエル首相」で40%、次いで「2027年以前はいない」が36%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、40¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に40%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「次のリーダーは2027年までに権力を失いますか？ （スターマー、ペトロは不可）」は$264.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jun 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「次のリーダーは2027年までに権力を失いますか？ （スターマー、ペトロは不可）」で取引するには、このページに記載されている22個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次のリーダーは2027年までに権力を失いますか？ （スターマー、ペトロは不可）」の現在のフロントランナーは「ネタニヤフ - イスラエル首相」で40%であり、市場がこの結果に40%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2027年以前はいない」で36%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次のリーダーは2027年までに権力を失いますか？ （スターマー、ペトロは不可）」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。