Traders see the September 8–15 window for Elon Musk’s X activity as tightly contested across the 160–239 range because recent full-week settlements have clustered in the 160–179 and 220–239 brackets amid steady daily posting of roughly 25–35 times without major external catalysts. Recent three-day and weekly data show consistent moderate volume on platform updates, Tesla commentary, and routine engagement rather than election-style spikes that have previously pushed counts above 300. With no confirmed high-impact announcements or controversies slated for the period, the market-implied odds reflect expectations of baseline cadence while leaving room for short bursts of replies or reposts to shift outcomes between adjacent brackets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日200〜219 19%
160〜179 18%
180〜199 18%
220〜239 15%
新規
$25,069 Vol.
新規
$25,069 Vol.
2026/09/15
20未満
<1%
20〜39
<1%
40〜59
<1%
60〜79
<1%
80～99
<1%
100〜119
2%
120～139
4%
140〜159
6%
160〜179
18%
180〜199
18%
200〜219
19%
220〜239
15%
240～259
10%
260〜279
6%
280～299
3%
300～319
4%
320～339
1%
340〜359
1%
360～379
1%
380～399
1%
400〜419
<1%
420～439
<1%
440〜459
<1%
460～479
<1%
480～499
<1%
500以上
<1%
200〜219 19%
160〜179 18%
180〜199 18%
220〜239 15%
新規
$25,069 Vol.
新規
$25,069 Vol.
2026/09/15
20未満
$269 Vol.
<1%
20〜39
$219 Vol.
<1%
40〜59
$1,309 Vol.
<1%
60〜79
$5,597 Vol.
<1%
80～99
$5,250 Vol.
<1%
100〜119
$553 Vol.
2%
120～139
$1,938 Vol.
4%
140〜159
$608 Vol.
6%
160〜179
$339 Vol.
18%
180〜199
$593 Vol.
18%
200〜219
$513 Vol.
19%
220〜239
$1,323 Vol.
15%
240～259
$546 Vol.
10%
260〜279
$406 Vol.
6%
280～299
$345 Vol.
3%
300～319
$926 Vol.
4%
320～339
$340 Vol.
1%
340〜359
$475 Vol.
1%
360～379
$504 Vol.
1%
380～399
$697 Vol.
1%
400〜419
$404 Vol.
<1%
420～439
$404 Vol.
<1%
440〜459
$373 Vol.
<1%
460～479
$277 Vol.
<1%
480～499
$375 Vol.
<1%
500以上
$490 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the September 8–15 window for Elon Musk’s X activity as tightly contested across the 160–239 range because recent full-week settlements have clustered in the 160–179 and 220–239 brackets amid steady daily posting of roughly 25–35 times without major external catalysts. Recent three-day and weekly data show consistent moderate volume on platform updates, Tesla commentary, and routine engagement rather than election-style spikes that have previously pushed counts above 300. With no confirmed high-impact announcements or controversies slated for the period, the market-implied odds reflect expectations of baseline cadence while leaving room for short bursts of replies or reposts to shift outcomes between adjacent brackets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$25,069終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the September 8–15 window for Elon Musk’s X activity as tightly contested across the 160–239 range because recent full-week settlements have clustered in the 160–179 and 220–239 brackets amid steady daily posting of roughly 25–35 times without major external catalysts. Recent three-day and weekly data show consistent moderate volume on platform updates, Tesla commentary, and routine engagement rather than election-style spikes that have previously pushed counts above 300. With no confirmed high-impact announcements or controversies slated for the period, the market-implied odds reflect expectations of baseline cadence while leaving room for short bursts of replies or reposts to shift outcomes between adjacent brackets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$25,069終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the September 8–15 window for Elon Musk’s X activity as tightly contested across the 160–239 range because recent full-week settlements have clustered in the 160–179 and 220–239 brackets amid steady daily posting of roughly 25–35 times without major external catalysts. Recent three-day and weekly data show consistent moderate volume on platform updates, Tesla commentary, and routine engagement rather than election-style spikes that have previously pushed counts above 300. With no confirmed high-impact announcements or controversies slated for the period, the market-implied odds reflect expectations of baseline cadence while leaving room for short bursts of replies or reposts to shift outcomes between adjacent brackets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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