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icon for イーロン・マスクは2026年9月5日から9月7日までツイートしていますか?

イーロン・マスクは2026年9月5日から9月7日までツイートしていますか?

icon for イーロン・マスクは2026年9月5日から9月7日までツイートしていますか?

イーロン・マスクは2026年9月5日から9月7日までツイートしていますか?

40~64 47%

65~89 30%

40未満 19%

90〜114 6.9%

Polymarket
新規

$30,976 Vol.

40~64 47%

65~89 30%

40未満 19%

90〜114 6.9%

Polymarket
新規

$30,976 Vol.

40未満

$5,929 Vol.

19%

40~64

$5,362 Vol.

47%

65~89

$5,122 Vol.

30%

90〜114

$4,149 Vol.

7%

115〜139

$2,004 Vol.

1%

140~164

$2,625 Vol.

<1%

165~189

$1,666 Vol.

<1%

190〜214

$2,191 Vol.

<1%

215〜239

$829 Vol.

<1%

240以上

$1,099 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the market frontrunner for the September 5-7 window, reflecting trader assessment of his baseline activity absent major breaking events. Recent patterns show daily volumes fluctuating between roughly 15 and 50 original posts plus replies, with quieter stretches producing totals in that band over three days. Ongoing Tesla and xAI commentary, plus routine engagement with followers, sustain steady output without the election-style spikes that previously pushed daily counts above 100. No high-profile appearances, product launches, or regulatory developments are scheduled to drive unusual volume or suppress it. Traders are therefore weighting historical averages and the lack of catalysts more heavily than outlier scenarios.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$30,976
終了日
2026/09/07
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X positions the 40-64 tweet range as the market frontrunner for the September 5-7 window, reflecting trader assessment of his baseline activity absent major breaking events. Recent patterns show daily volumes fluctuating between roughly 15 and 50 original posts plus replies, with quieter stretches producing totals in that band over three days. Ongoing Tesla and xAI commentary, plus routine engagement with followers, sustain steady output without the election-style spikes that previously pushed daily counts above 100. No high-profile appearances, product launches, or regulatory developments are scheduled to drive unusual volume or suppress it. Traders are therefore weighting historical averages and the lack of catalysts more heavily than outlier scenarios.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$30,976
終了日
2026/09/07
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月5日から9月7日までツイートしていますか?」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「40~64」で47%、次いで「65~89」が30%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、47¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に47%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月5日から9月7日までツイートしていますか?」は$31Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Sep 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月5日から9月7日までツイートしていますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月5日から9月7日までツイートしていますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「40~64」で47%であり、市場がこの結果に47%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「65~89」で30%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月5日から9月7日までツイートしていますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。