Recent tweet-volume markets show Elon Musk averaging roughly 25–40 posts per day amid routine commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and platform governance, with weekly totals swinging sharply from under 100 to over 300 depending on news cycles and late-night engagement. The tight clustering of implied odds around the 160–219 and 140–179 brackets reflects this established cadence for the early-September window, where no major product launches or political flashpoints are currently scheduled. Traders weigh weekend slowdowns against the possibility of rapid-reply spikes on industry developments, leaving adjacent bins competitive and underscoring the inherent variability in his X activity patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日180-199 17%
200-219 16%
160-179 15%
220-239 14%
$72,527 Vol.
$72,527 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
2%
120-139
4%
140-159
12%
160-179
15%
180-199
17%
200-219
16%
220-239
14%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 17%
200-219 16%
160-179 15%
220-239 14%
$72,527 Vol.
$72,527 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
2%
120-139
4%
140-159
12%
160-179
15%
180-199
17%
200-219
16%
220-239
14%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent tweet-volume markets show Elon Musk averaging roughly 25–40 posts per day amid routine commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and platform governance, with weekly totals swinging sharply from under 100 to over 300 depending on news cycles and late-night engagement. The tight clustering of implied odds around the 160–219 and 140–179 brackets reflects this established cadence for the early-September window, where no major product launches or political flashpoints are currently scheduled. Traders weigh weekend slowdowns against the possibility of rapid-reply spikes on industry developments, leaving adjacent bins competitive and underscoring the inherent variability in his X activity patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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