Skip to main content
icon for イーロン・マスクは2026年9月1日から9月8日までツイートしていますか?

イーロン・マスクは2026年9月1日から9月8日までツイートしていますか?

icon for イーロン・マスクは2026年9月1日から9月8日までツイートしていますか?

イーロン・マスクは2026年9月1日から9月8日までツイートしていますか?

180-199 17%

200-219 16%

160-179 15%

220-239 14%

Polymarket
新規

$72,527 Vol.

180-199 17%

200-219 16%

160-179 15%

220-239 14%

Polymarket
新規

$72,527 Vol.

<20

$207 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$212 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$257 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$6,438 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$6,701 Vol.

1%

100-119

$647 Vol.

2%

120-139

$506 Vol.

4%

140-159

$546 Vol.

12%

160-179

$493 Vol.

15%

180-199

$4,592 Vol.

17%

200-219

$365 Vol.

16%

220-239

$344 Vol.

14%

240-259

$470 Vol.

9%

260-279

$439 Vol.

6%

280-299

$1,068 Vol.

3%

300-319

$455 Vol.

2%

320-339

$2,084 Vol.

2%

340-359

$2,359 Vol.

1%

360-379

$5,649 Vol.

1%

380-399

$6,067 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$6,587 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$1,020 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$5,394 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$5,402 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$5,402 Vol.

<1%

500+

$8,824 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent tweet-volume markets show Elon Musk averaging roughly 25–40 posts per day amid routine commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and platform governance, with weekly totals swinging sharply from under 100 to over 300 depending on news cycles and late-night engagement. The tight clustering of implied odds around the 160–219 and 140–179 brackets reflects this established cadence for the early-September window, where no major product launches or political flashpoints are currently scheduled. Traders weigh weekend slowdowns against the possibility of rapid-reply spikes on industry developments, leaving adjacent bins competitive and underscoring the inherent variability in his X activity patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$72,527
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent tweet-volume markets show Elon Musk averaging roughly 25–40 posts per day amid routine commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and platform governance, with weekly totals swinging sharply from under 100 to over 300 depending on news cycles and late-night engagement. The tight clustering of implied odds around the 160–219 and 140–179 brackets reflects this established cadence for the early-September window, where no major product launches or political flashpoints are currently scheduled. Traders weigh weekend slowdowns against the possibility of rapid-reply spikes on industry developments, leaving adjacent bins competitive and underscoring the inherent variability in his X activity patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$72,527
終了日
2026/09/08
マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月1日から9月8日までツイートしていますか?」はPolymarket上の26個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「180-199」で17%、次いで「200-219」が16%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、17¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に17%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月1日から9月8日までツイートしていますか?」は$72.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 29, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月1日から9月8日までツイートしていますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている26個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月1日から9月8日までツイートしていますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「180-199」で17%であり、市場がこの結果に17%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「200-219」で16%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスクは2026年9月1日から9月8日までツイートしていますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。