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icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月25日~ 9月1日?

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月25日~ 9月1日?

icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月25日~ 9月1日?

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月25日~ 9月1日?

220-239 14%

240-259 13%

180-199 12%

200-219 12%

Polymarket
新規

$17,116 Vol.

220-239 14%

240-259 13%

180-199 12%

200-219 12%

Polymarket
新規

$17,116 Vol.

<20

$1,571 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$1,571 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$571 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$3,576 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$441 Vol.

1%

100-119

$437 Vol.

1%

120-139

$284 Vol.

3%

140-159

$265 Vol.

5%

160-179

$531 Vol.

8%

180-199

$88 Vol.

12%

200-219

$469 Vol.

12%

220-239

$816 Vol.

14%

240-259

$1,116 Vol.

13%

260-279

$612 Vol.

11%

280-299

$167 Vol.

7%

300-319

$75 Vol.

5%

320-339

$92 Vol.

3%

340-359

$243 Vol.

2%

360-379

$416 Vol.

2%

380-399

$741 Vol.

2%

400-419

$673 Vol.

2%

420-439

$792 Vol.

1%

440-459

$251 Vol.

1%

460-479

$244 Vol.

1%

480-499

$373 Vol.

1%

500+

$700 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have fluctuated sharply between roughly 100 and 250 posts, producing a broad distribution of market-implied odds centered on the 220–259 range. Recent trackers show daily averages near 30–40 posts on active weeks, tempered by lower weekend volume and quiet stretches below 150 total. With no major product launches, regulatory events, or high-profile controversies confirmed for the August 25–September 1 window, traders appear to price in baseline activity levels while allowing room for news-driven spikes. The tight spread across 180–279 brackets reflects this uncertainty, as even modest shifts in engagement or breaking developments could push the final count outside the current consensus bands.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$17,116
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have fluctuated sharply between roughly 100 and 250 posts, producing a broad distribution of market-implied odds centered on the 220–259 range. Recent trackers show daily averages near 30–40 posts on active weeks, tempered by lower weekend volume and quiet stretches below 150 total. With no major product launches, regulatory events, or high-profile controversies confirmed for the August 25–September 1 window, traders appear to price in baseline activity levels while allowing room for news-driven spikes. The tight spread across 180–279 brackets reflects this uncertainty, as even modest shifts in engagement or breaking developments could push the final count outside the current consensus bands.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$17,116
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月25日~ 9月1日?」はPolymarket上の26個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「220-239」で14%、次いで「240-259」が13%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、14¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に14%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月25日~ 9月1日?」は$17.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 22, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月25日~ 9月1日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている26個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月25日~ 9月1日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「220-239」で14%であり、市場がこの結果に14%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「240-259」で13%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年8月25日~ 9月1日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。