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icon for Ted Cruz #は2026年8月25日~ 9月1日に投稿しましたか?

Ted Cruz #は2026年8月25日~ 9月1日に投稿しましたか?

icon for Ted Cruz #は2026年8月25日~ 9月1日に投稿しましたか?

Ted Cruz #は2026年8月25日~ 9月1日に投稿しましたか?

120-139 27%

200+ 25%

80-99 24%

140-159 21%

Polymarket
新規

120-139 27%

200+ 25%

80-99 24%

140-159 21%

Polymarket
新規

<20

$103 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$25 Vol.

1%

40-59

$25 Vol.

3%

60-79

$25 Vol.

4%

80-99

$0 Vol.

24%

100-119

$5 Vol.

20%

120-139

$0 Vol.

27%

140-159

$10 Vol.

21%

160-179

$12 Vol.

34%

180-199

$0 Vol.

12%

200+

$0 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ted Cruz's X posting volume from August 25 to September 1, 2026, centers on uncertainty around his baseline activity during the congressional recess and Labor Day window. Historical patterns show weekly output often landing in the 100-160 range, modulated by Senate schedule, news cycles, constituent outreach, or any late-breaking political developments. The tight distribution across multiple brackets underscores how routine engagement could hold steady while spikes from major events or dips from holiday timing remain possible. Key variables include whether emerging legislative priorities or external news prompt higher interaction, allowing the market to separate as the period approaches.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$204
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ted Cruz's X posting volume from August 25 to September 1, 2026, centers on uncertainty around his baseline activity during the congressional recess and Labor Day window. Historical patterns show weekly output often landing in the 100-160 range, modulated by Senate schedule, news cycles, constituent outreach, or any late-breaking political developments. The tight distribution across multiple brackets underscores how routine engagement could hold steady while spikes from major events or dips from holiday timing remain possible. Key variables include whether emerging legislative priorities or external news prompt higher interaction, allowing the market to separate as the period approaches.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$204
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Ted Cruz #は2026年8月25日~ 9月1日に投稿しましたか?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「160-179」で34%、次いで「120-139」が27%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、34¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に34%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年8月25日~ 9月1日に投稿しましたか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 22, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年8月25日~ 9月1日に投稿しましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年8月25日~ 9月1日に投稿しましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「160-179」で34%であり、市場がこの結果に34%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「120-139」で27%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Ted Cruz #は2026年8月25日~ 9月1日に投稿しましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。