Elon Musk's typical posting cadence on X, with multiple original tweets and replies logged on August 22 alone, anchors trader expectations for the 40-64 tweet range as the clear favorite at 51.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady engagement with SpaceX milestones, political commentary, and platform updates rather than an accelerated or muted pace, supporting moderate volume over the three-day window. The 29.5% probability on fewer than 40 tweets reflects the possibility of a quieter stretch amid competing business demands, while higher bins remain discounted given the absence of catalysts that historically drive spikes. Market-implied odds capture aggregated real-money sentiment on his established habits ahead of the period close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40～64 52%
40未満 32%
65〜89 17%
90〜114 2.5%
$215,318 Vol.
$215,318 Vol.
2026/08/24
40未満
32%
40～64
52%
65〜89
17%
90〜114
2%
115～139
1%
140～164
<1%
165〜189
1%
190〜214
<1%
215〜239
<1%
240以上
<1%
40～64 52%
40未満 32%
65〜89 17%
90〜114 2.5%
$215,318 Vol.
$215,318 Vol.
2026/08/24
40未満
$30,772 Vol.
32%
40～64
$24,027 Vol.
52%
65〜89
$17,905 Vol.
17%
90〜114
$29,416 Vol.
2%
115～139
$41,474 Vol.
1%
140～164
$16,522 Vol.
<1%
165〜189
$28,187 Vol.
1%
190〜214
$14,520 Vol.
<1%
215〜239
$8,044 Vol.
<1%
240以上
$4,452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's typical posting cadence on X, with multiple original tweets and replies logged on August 22 alone, anchors trader expectations for the 40-64 tweet range as the clear favorite at 51.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady engagement with SpaceX milestones, political commentary, and platform updates rather than an accelerated or muted pace, supporting moderate volume over the three-day window. The 29.5% probability on fewer than 40 tweets reflects the possibility of a quieter stretch amid competing business demands, while higher bins remain discounted given the absence of catalysts that historically drive spikes. Market-implied odds capture aggregated real-money sentiment on his established habits ahead of the period close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
音量
$215,318終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's typical posting cadence on X, with multiple original tweets and replies logged on August 22 alone, anchors trader expectations for the 40-64 tweet range as the clear favorite at 51.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady engagement with SpaceX milestones, political commentary, and platform updates rather than an accelerated or muted pace, supporting moderate volume over the three-day window. The 29.5% probability on fewer than 40 tweets reflects the possibility of a quieter stretch amid competing business demands, while higher bins remain discounted given the absence of catalysts that historically drive spikes. Market-implied odds capture aggregated real-money sentiment on his established habits ahead of the period close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$215,318終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's typical posting cadence on X, with multiple original tweets and replies logged on August 22 alone, anchors trader expectations for the 40-64 tweet range as the clear favorite at 51.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady engagement with SpaceX milestones, political commentary, and platform updates rather than an accelerated or muted pace, supporting moderate volume over the three-day window. The 29.5% probability on fewer than 40 tweets reflects the possibility of a quieter stretch amid competing business demands, while higher bins remain discounted given the absence of catalysts that historically drive spikes. Market-implied odds capture aggregated real-money sentiment on his established habits ahead of the period close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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