Rockstar Games has held firm on the November 19, 2026 console launch since the November 2025 delay announcement, with no credible reports of further slippage as of early August 2026. Take-Two’s earnings updates and Rockstar’s typical pre-launch cadence have reinforced stability, while marketing momentum—including expected trailer drops and pre-order activity—aligns with a firm date rather than another extension. Traders see the 89% “No” probability as reflecting Rockstar’s pattern of delivering once a final window is locked, despite the game’s history of multiple postponements from its original 2025 target. The next major catalyst remains any late-summer or fall status update that could either solidify or unsettle the November slot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$598,943 Vol.
$598,943 Vol.
2026/11/19
はい
$598,943 Vol.
$598,943 Vol.
2026/11/19
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rockstar Games has held firm on the November 19, 2026 console launch since the November 2025 delay announcement, with no credible reports of further slippage as of early August 2026. Take-Two’s earnings updates and Rockstar’s typical pre-launch cadence have reinforced stability, while marketing momentum—including expected trailer drops and pre-order activity—aligns with a firm date rather than another extension. Traders see the 89% “No” probability as reflecting Rockstar’s pattern of delivering once a final window is locked, despite the game’s history of multiple postponements from its original 2025 target. The next major catalyst remains any late-summer or fall status update that could either solidify or unsettle the November slot.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ET
音量
$598,943終了日
2026/11/19マーケット開始日
Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rockstar Games has held firm on the November 19, 2026 console launch since the November 2025 delay announcement, with no credible reports of further slippage as of early August 2026. Take-Two’s earnings updates and Rockstar’s typical pre-launch cadence have reinforced stability, while marketing momentum—including expected trailer drops and pre-order activity—aligns with a firm date rather than another extension. Traders see the 89% “No” probability as reflecting Rockstar’s pattern of delivering once a final window is locked, despite the game’s history of multiple postponements from its original 2025 target. The next major catalyst remains any late-summer or fall status update that could either solidify or unsettle the November slot.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$598,943終了日
2026/11/19マーケット開始日
Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rockstar Games has held firm on the November 19, 2026 console launch since the November 2025 delay announcement, with no credible reports of further slippage as of early August 2026. Take-Two’s earnings updates and Rockstar’s typical pre-launch cadence have reinforced stability, while marketing momentum—including expected trailer drops and pre-order activity—aligns with a firm date rather than another extension. Traders see the 89% “No” probability as reflecting Rockstar’s pattern of delivering once a final window is locked, despite the game’s history of multiple postponements from its original 2025 target. The next major catalyst remains any late-summer or fall status update that could either solidify or unsettle the November slot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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