Elon Musk’s recent posting rhythm, marked by sharp weekly swings between sub-100 and 200-plus totals, anchors trader sentiment around the 160-219 range for the September 15-22 window. Early September data reveal multiple low-volume stretches settling in the 40-64 bracket, tempering expectations for sustained high output, while his established baseline of roughly 25-35 posts per day supports mid-range resolution when no major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI catalysts emerge. Historical patterns show quiet periods can persist absent external triggers, yet any platform commentary, product updates, or political developments could push counts higher. The close clustering among leading brackets reflects this uncertainty, with traders weighing recency against Musk’s variable cadence on X.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日180～199 18%
160〜179 18%
200～219 16%
140～159 13%
$26,962 Vol.
$26,962 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20〜39
<1%
40〜59
<1%
60〜79
<1%
80～99
1%
100〜119
1%
120〜139
7%
140～159
13%
160〜179
18%
180～199
18%
200～219
16%
220〜239
12%
240〜259
8%
260〜279
5%
280〜299
2%
300〜319
2%
320～339
1%
340〜359
1%
360〜379
1%
380〜399
1%
400〜419
1%
420～439
<1%
440〜459
<1%
460～479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500以上
<1%
180～199 18%
160〜179 18%
200～219 16%
140～159 13%
$26,962 Vol.
$26,962 Vol.
20未満
<1%
20〜39
<1%
40〜59
<1%
60〜79
<1%
80～99
1%
100〜119
1%
120〜139
7%
140～159
13%
160〜179
18%
180～199
18%
200～219
16%
220〜239
12%
240〜259
8%
260〜279
5%
280〜299
2%
300〜319
2%
320～339
1%
340〜359
1%
360〜379
1%
380〜399
1%
400〜419
1%
420～439
<1%
440〜459
<1%
460～479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting rhythm, marked by sharp weekly swings between sub-100 and 200-plus totals, anchors trader sentiment around the 160-219 range for the September 15-22 window. Early September data reveal multiple low-volume stretches settling in the 40-64 bracket, tempering expectations for sustained high output, while his established baseline of roughly 25-35 posts per day supports mid-range resolution when no major Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI catalysts emerge. Historical patterns show quiet periods can persist absent external triggers, yet any platform commentary, product updates, or political developments could push counts higher. The close clustering among leading brackets reflects this uncertainty, with traders weighing recency against Musk’s variable cadence on X.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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