Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner this far ahead of nominations. Matt Damon and John Malkovich share the top implied probabilities near 25-27% on the strength of their respective summer and festival performances in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* and Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*. Damon benefits from blockbuster box-office momentum and a physically demanding lead role, while Malkovich has gained recent traction from strong Venice and Toronto buzz, including extended standing ovations. Tom Cruise and Andrew Scott follow closely behind, buoyed by “first Oscar” narratives and critical anticipation for their projects. Upcoming fall festivals and guild precursors will likely sharpen the competitive dynamics among these contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞受賞
オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞受賞
ジョン・マルコヴィッチ 26.4%
マット・デイモン 25%
トム・クルーズ 17%
アンドリュー・スコット 17%
$120,950 Vol.
$120,950 Vol.
2027/03/14
ジョン・マルコヴィッチ
26%
マット・デイモン
25%
トム・クルーズ
17%
アンドリュー・スコット
17%
ロバート・パティンソン
8%
セバスチャン・スタン
2%
ジェレミー・ストロング
2%
ライアン・ゴズリング
2%
ティモシー・シャラメ
1%
ジャファー・ジャクソン
1%
サム・ロックウェル
1%
ペドロ・パスカル
1%
アダム・ドライバー
<1%
ブラッド・ピット
<1%
ハビエル・バルデム
<1%
ロバート・アラマヨ
<1%
ジョン・タトゥーロ
<1%
ジョシュ・オコナー
<1%
ジョン・マルコヴィッチ 26.4%
マット・デイモン 25%
トム・クルーズ 17%
アンドリュー・スコット 17%
$120,950 Vol.
$120,950 Vol.
2027/03/14
ジョン・マルコヴィッチ
$9,359 Vol.
26%
マット・デイモン
$34,252 Vol.
25%
トム・クルーズ
$11,510 Vol.
17%
アンドリュー・スコット
$12,230 Vol.
17%
ロバート・パティンソン
$5,254 Vol.
8%
セバスチャン・スタン
$2,770 Vol.
2%
ジェレミー・ストロング
$4,044 Vol.
2%
ライアン・ゴズリング
$4,783 Vol.
2%
ティモシー・シャラメ
$3,698 Vol.
1%
ジャファー・ジャクソン
$4,217 Vol.
1%
サム・ロックウェル
$4,582 Vol.
1%
ペドロ・パスカル
$3,086 Vol.
1%
アダム・ドライバー
$2,378 Vol.
<1%
ブラッド・ピット
$8,117 Vol.
<1%
ハビエル・バルデム
$2,910 Vol.
<1%
ロバート・アラマヨ
$3,125 Vol.
<1%
ジョン・タトゥーロ
$3,092 Vol.
<1%
ジョシュ・オコナー
$1,542 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner this far ahead of nominations. Matt Damon and John Malkovich share the top implied probabilities near 25-27% on the strength of their respective summer and festival performances in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* and Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*. Damon benefits from blockbuster box-office momentum and a physically demanding lead role, while Malkovich has gained recent traction from strong Venice and Toronto buzz, including extended standing ovations. Tom Cruise and Andrew Scott follow closely behind, buoyed by “first Oscar” narratives and critical anticipation for their projects. Upcoming fall festivals and guild precursors will likely sharpen the competitive dynamics among these contenders.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
音量
$120,950終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner this far ahead of nominations. Matt Damon and John Malkovich share the top implied probabilities near 25-27% on the strength of their respective summer and festival performances in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* and Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*. Damon benefits from blockbuster box-office momentum and a physically demanding lead role, while Malkovich has gained recent traction from strong Venice and Toronto buzz, including extended standing ovations. Tom Cruise and Andrew Scott follow closely behind, buoyed by “first Oscar” narratives and critical anticipation for their projects. Upcoming fall festivals and guild precursors will likely sharpen the competitive dynamics among these contenders.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$120,950終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Early trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a wide-open field with no dominant frontrunner this far ahead of nominations. Matt Damon and John Malkovich share the top implied probabilities near 25-27% on the strength of their respective summer and festival performances in Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* and Martin McDonagh’s *Wild Horse Nine*. Damon benefits from blockbuster box-office momentum and a physically demanding lead role, while Malkovich has gained recent traction from strong Venice and Toronto buzz, including extended standing ovations. Tom Cruise and Andrew Scott follow closely behind, buoyed by “first Oscar” narratives and critical anticipation for their projects. Upcoming fall festivals and guild precursors will likely sharpen the competitive dynamics among these contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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