The early 2027 Best Actor market shows a wide-open field, with Matt Damon and Tom Cruise holding the clearest edges on the strength of anticipated 2026 releases and established industry profiles. Traders are pricing in historical Oscar momentum and campaign potential for these veterans while assigning lower implied probabilities to emerging names like Andrew Scott, Javier Bardem, and Jeremy Strong. Because major festival premieres and guild nominations remain months away, sentiment hinges on pre-release buzz, casting announcements, and comparisons to past performance patterns rather than concrete precursor results. Upcoming theatrical launches and critical early reactions will likely drive the first meaningful shifts in this fluid race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞受賞
オスカー2027 ：主演男優賞受賞
マット・デイモン 33%
トム・クルーズ 27%
アンドリュー・スコット 15%
ジョン・マルコヴィッチ 10%
$17,711 Vol.
$17,711 Vol.
2027/03/14
マット・デイモン
33%
トム・クルーズ
27%
アンドリュー・スコット
15%
ジョン・マルコヴィッチ
10%
ジェレミー・ストロング
8%
ブラッド・ピット
8%
ライアン・ゴズリング
5%
ティモシー・シャラメ
4%
セバスチャン・スタン
4%
サム・ロックウェル
4%
ペドロ・パスカル
3%
ジョン・タトゥーロ
1%
ロバート・アラマヨ
1%
アダム・ドライバー
1%
ジャファー・ジャクソン
<1%
ジョシュ・オコナー
<1%
ハビエル・バルデム
6%
マット・デイモン 33%
トム・クルーズ 27%
アンドリュー・スコット 15%
ジョン・マルコヴィッチ 10%
$17,711 Vol.
$17,711 Vol.
2027/03/14
マット・デイモン
$3,936 Vol.
33%
トム・クルーズ
$3,242 Vol.
27%
アンドリュー・スコット
$3,270 Vol.
15%
ジョン・マルコヴィッチ
$635 Vol.
10%
ジェレミー・ストロング
$240 Vol.
8%
ブラッド・ピット
$899 Vol.
8%
ライアン・ゴズリング
$1,669 Vol.
5%
ティモシー・シャラメ
$442 Vol.
4%
セバスチャン・スタン
$405 Vol.
4%
サム・ロックウェル
$364 Vol.
4%
ペドロ・パスカル
$399 Vol.
3%
ジョン・タトゥーロ
$393 Vol.
1%
ロバート・アラマヨ
$391 Vol.
1%
アダム・ドライバー
$373 Vol.
1%
ジャファー・ジャクソン
$364 Vol.
<1%
ジョシュ・オコナー
$324 Vol.
<1%
ハビエル・バルデム
$364 Vol.
6%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early 2027 Best Actor market shows a wide-open field, with Matt Damon and Tom Cruise holding the clearest edges on the strength of anticipated 2026 releases and established industry profiles. Traders are pricing in historical Oscar momentum and campaign potential for these veterans while assigning lower implied probabilities to emerging names like Andrew Scott, Javier Bardem, and Jeremy Strong. Because major festival premieres and guild nominations remain months away, sentiment hinges on pre-release buzz, casting announcements, and comparisons to past performance patterns rather than concrete precursor results. Upcoming theatrical launches and critical early reactions will likely drive the first meaningful shifts in this fluid race.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
音量
$17,711終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early 2027 Best Actor market shows a wide-open field, with Matt Damon and Tom Cruise holding the clearest edges on the strength of anticipated 2026 releases and established industry profiles. Traders are pricing in historical Oscar momentum and campaign potential for these veterans while assigning lower implied probabilities to emerging names like Andrew Scott, Javier Bardem, and Jeremy Strong. Because major festival premieres and guild nominations remain months away, sentiment hinges on pre-release buzz, casting announcements, and comparisons to past performance patterns rather than concrete precursor results. Upcoming theatrical launches and critical early reactions will likely drive the first meaningful shifts in this fluid race.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$17,711終了日
2027/03/14マーケット開始日
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The early 2027 Best Actor market shows a wide-open field, with Matt Damon and Tom Cruise holding the clearest edges on the strength of anticipated 2026 releases and established industry profiles. Traders are pricing in historical Oscar momentum and campaign potential for these veterans while assigning lower implied probabilities to emerging names like Andrew Scott, Javier Bardem, and Jeremy Strong. Because major festival premieres and guild nominations remain months away, sentiment hinges on pre-release buzz, casting announcements, and comparisons to past performance patterns rather than concrete precursor results. Upcoming theatrical launches and critical early reactions will likely drive the first meaningful shifts in this fluid race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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