**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s record nine Emmy nominations in its final season have fueled strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability.** Its 2025 win in the prior talk series category, combined with the narrative of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program, positions it as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series race. Nominees include Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show, but none match Colbert’s volume of technical and creative nods or the emotional momentum of a farewell campaign. With final-round voting concluding August 26 and the September 14 ceremony approaching, the market reflects aggregated sentiment that voters are likely to reward the show’s legacy and peak recognition rather than split the “area award” among competitors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エミー2026 ：傑出したバラエティシリーズ
エミー2026 ：傑出したバラエティシリーズ
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア 75%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト 8.4%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ！」 4.4%
サタデー・ナイト・ライブ 2.5%
$108,354 Vol.
$108,354 Vol.
2026/09/14
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア
75%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト
8%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ！」
4%
サタデー・ナイト・ライブ
2%
「ザ・デイリー・ショー」
2%
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア 75%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト 8.4%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ！」 4.4%
サタデー・ナイト・ライブ 2.5%
$108,354 Vol.
$108,354 Vol.
2026/09/14
ザ・レイト・ショー・ウィズ・スティーブン・コルベア
$35,484 Vol.
75%
ジョン・オリバーのラスト・ウィーク・トゥナイト
$20,634 Vol.
8%
「ジミー・キンメル・ライブ！」
$25,487 Vol.
4%
サタデー・ナイト・ライブ
$12,864 Vol.
2%
「ザ・デイリー・ショー」
$13,886 Vol.
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s record nine Emmy nominations in its final season have fueled strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability.**
Its 2025 win in the prior talk series category, combined with the narrative of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program, positions it as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series race. Nominees include Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show, but none match Colbert’s volume of technical and creative nods or the emotional momentum of a farewell campaign.
With final-round voting concluding August 26 and the September 14 ceremony approaching, the market reflects aggregated sentiment that voters are likely to reward the show’s legacy and peak recognition rather than split the “area award” among competitors.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
音量
$108,354終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s record nine Emmy nominations in its final season have fueled strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability.**
Its 2025 win in the prior talk series category, combined with the narrative of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program, positions it as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series race. Nominees include Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show, but none match Colbert’s volume of technical and creative nods or the emotional momentum of a farewell campaign.
With final-round voting concluding August 26 and the September 14 ceremony approaching, the market reflects aggregated sentiment that voters are likely to reward the show’s legacy and peak recognition rather than split the “area award” among competitors.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$108,354終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s record nine Emmy nominations in its final season have fueled strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability.** Its 2025 win in the prior talk series category, combined with the narrative of a high-profile send-off after CBS canceled the program, positions it as the clear frontrunner in the newly merged Outstanding Variety Series race. Nominees include Last Week Tonight With John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Saturday Night Live, and The Daily Show, but none match Colbert’s volume of technical and creative nods or the emotional momentum of a farewell campaign. With final-round voting concluding August 26 and the September 14 ceremony approaching, the market reflects aggregated sentiment that voters are likely to reward the show’s legacy and peak recognition rather than split the “area award” among competitors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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