Rhea Seehorn leads the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series market at 77% implied probability, driven by her Golden Globe win for *Pluribus* and the Apple TV+ freshman drama’s 18 nominations, including Outstanding Drama Series plus writing and directing nods for creator Vince Gilligan. The series’ critical reception and Seehorn’s performance as Carol Sturka have built strong voter momentum, consistent with historical patterns favoring breakout seasons from acclaimed showrunners. Keri Russell sits at 16.3% on the strength of *The Diplomat*’s ongoing run and her recent SAG Award, while Zendaya’s 5.9% reflects her prior category wins offset by mixed reviews for *Euphoria*’s latest season. Chase Infiniti and Carrie Coon trail with limited precursor traction. Final voting concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, leaving little room for late shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Emmys 2026 ：ドラマシリーズの傑出した主演女優
Emmys 2026 ：ドラマシリーズの傑出した主演女優
レイ・シーホーン – 「プルリバス」 77%
ケリー・ラッセル – 「ザ・ディプロマット」 16.3%
ゼンデイヤ – 「ユーフォリア」 5.8%
チェイス・インフィニティ – 「ザ・テスタメンツ」 2.6%
$25,519 Vol.
$25,519 Vol.
2026/09/14
レイ・シーホーン – 「プルリバス」
77%
ケリー・ラッセル – 「ザ・ディプロマット」
16%
ゼンデイヤ – 「ユーフォリア」
6%
チェイス・インフィニティ – 「ザ・テスタメンツ」
3%
キャリー・クーン – 「ギルデッド・エイジ」
2%
レイ・シーホーン – 「プルリバス」 77%
ケリー・ラッセル – 「ザ・ディプロマット」 16.3%
ゼンデイヤ – 「ユーフォリア」 5.8%
チェイス・インフィニティ – 「ザ・テスタメンツ」 2.6%
$25,519 Vol.
$25,519 Vol.
2026/09/14
レイ・シーホーン – 「プルリバス」
$10,686 Vol.
77%
ケリー・ラッセル – 「ザ・ディプロマット」
$6,516 Vol.
16%
ゼンデイヤ – 「ユーフォリア」
$3,583 Vol.
6%
チェイス・インフィニティ – 「ザ・テスタメンツ」
$2,386 Vol.
3%
キャリー・クーン – 「ギルデッド・エイジ」
$2,348 Vol.
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhea Seehorn leads the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series market at 77% implied probability, driven by her Golden Globe win for *Pluribus* and the Apple TV+ freshman drama’s 18 nominations, including Outstanding Drama Series plus writing and directing nods for creator Vince Gilligan. The series’ critical reception and Seehorn’s performance as Carol Sturka have built strong voter momentum, consistent with historical patterns favoring breakout seasons from acclaimed showrunners. Keri Russell sits at 16.3% on the strength of *The Diplomat*’s ongoing run and her recent SAG Award, while Zendaya’s 5.9% reflects her prior category wins offset by mixed reviews for *Euphoria*’s latest season. Chase Infiniti and Carrie Coon trail with limited precursor traction. Final voting concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, leaving little room for late shifts.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
音量
$25,519終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rhea Seehorn leads the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series market at 77% implied probability, driven by her Golden Globe win for *Pluribus* and the Apple TV+ freshman drama’s 18 nominations, including Outstanding Drama Series plus writing and directing nods for creator Vince Gilligan. The series’ critical reception and Seehorn’s performance as Carol Sturka have built strong voter momentum, consistent with historical patterns favoring breakout seasons from acclaimed showrunners. Keri Russell sits at 16.3% on the strength of *The Diplomat*’s ongoing run and her recent SAG Award, while Zendaya’s 5.9% reflects her prior category wins offset by mixed reviews for *Euphoria*’s latest season. Chase Infiniti and Carrie Coon trail with limited precursor traction. Final voting concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, leaving little room for late shifts.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$25,519終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Rhea Seehorn leads the Emmys 2026 Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series market at 77% implied probability, driven by her Golden Globe win for *Pluribus* and the Apple TV+ freshman drama’s 18 nominations, including Outstanding Drama Series plus writing and directing nods for creator Vince Gilligan. The series’ critical reception and Seehorn’s performance as Carol Sturka have built strong voter momentum, consistent with historical patterns favoring breakout seasons from acclaimed showrunners. Keri Russell sits at 16.3% on the strength of *The Diplomat*’s ongoing run and her recent SAG Award, while Zendaya’s 5.9% reflects her prior category wins offset by mixed reviews for *Euphoria*’s latest season. Chase Infiniti and Carrie Coon trail with limited precursor traction. Final voting concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, leaving little room for late shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問