Jean Smart’s commanding 92.8% market-implied odds for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series reflect her four straight prior Emmy wins as Deborah Vance on HBO Max’s *Hacks*, the series’ record 24 nominations for its fifth and final season, and consistent critical praise for her performance. Academy voters frequently honor performers and shows in their farewell year, reinforcing trader consensus around a potential record-tying fifth victory. The other nominees—Lisa Kudrow in *The Comeback*, Quinta Brunson in *Abbott Elementary*, Elle Fanning in *Margo’s Got Money Troubles*, and Ayo Edebiri in *The Bear*—remain long shots, though an upset could occur if late voting momentum shifts toward a different farewell campaign or if voters seek to spread recognition across multiple series ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エミー2026 ：コメディシリーズの優れた主演女優
エミー2026 ：コメディシリーズの優れた主演女優
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 92.8%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 4.9%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary” 1.7%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 1.7%
$37,881 Vol.
$37,881 Vol.
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
93%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
5%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
2%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
2%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
1%
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 92.8%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 4.9%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary” 1.7%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 1.7%
$37,881 Vol.
$37,881 Vol.
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
93%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
5%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
2%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
2%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Jean Smart’s commanding 92.8% market-implied odds for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series reflect her four straight prior Emmy wins as Deborah Vance on HBO Max’s *Hacks*, the series’ record 24 nominations for its fifth and final season, and consistent critical praise for her performance. Academy voters frequently honor performers and shows in their farewell year, reinforcing trader consensus around a potential record-tying fifth victory. The other nominees—Lisa Kudrow in *The Comeback*, Quinta Brunson in *Abbott Elementary*, Elle Fanning in *Margo’s Got Money Troubles*, and Ayo Edebiri in *The Bear*—remain long shots, though an upset could occur if late voting momentum shifts toward a different farewell campaign or if voters seek to spread recognition across multiple series ahead of the September 14 ceremony.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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