**Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment, with the 156-minute sci-fi monster thriller facing a midweek launch and a 77% Rotten Tomatoes score that signals solid but not breakout critical reception.** Strong presales and premium-format availability (Dolby, 4DX, IMAX) reflect festival buzz from Cannes and the film’s record South Korean debut of $11.3 million, yet the lengthy runtime, mixed audience expectations for an imported genre title, and September competition limit upside. Historical patterns for non-English-language films and the market’s emphasis on domestic three-day totals (September 11–13) keep sub-$6 million as the clearest favorite at 43.5% implied probability, while 9–10 million sits second at 29%. Upcoming opening-weekend tracking and early word-of-mouth will be the decisive swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「ホープ」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
「ホープ」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
600万未満 44%
900万〜1000万ドル 29%
600万～700万 27%
700万〜800万 23%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
600万未満
44%
600万～700万
27%
700万〜800万
23%
8〜9百万ドル
21%
900万〜1000万ドル
29%
1000万ドル以上
19%
600万未満 44%
900万〜1000万ドル 29%
600万～700万 27%
700万〜800万 23%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
600万未満
$1 Vol.
44%
600万～700万
$0 Vol.
27%
700万〜800万
$0 Vol.
23%
8〜9百万ドル
$0 Vol.
21%
900万〜1000万ドル
$0 Vol.
29%
1000万ドル以上
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment, with the 156-minute sci-fi monster thriller facing a midweek launch and a 77% Rotten Tomatoes score that signals solid but not breakout critical reception.** Strong presales and premium-format availability (Dolby, 4DX, IMAX) reflect festival buzz from Cannes and the film’s record South Korean debut of $11.3 million, yet the lengthy runtime, mixed audience expectations for an imported genre title, and September competition limit upside. Historical patterns for non-English-language films and the market’s emphasis on domestic three-day totals (September 11–13) keep sub-$6 million as the clearest favorite at 43.5% implied probability, while 9–10 million sits second at 29%. Upcoming opening-weekend tracking and early word-of-mouth will be the decisive swing factors.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$1終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment, with the 156-minute sci-fi monster thriller facing a midweek launch and a 77% Rotten Tomatoes score that signals solid but not breakout critical reception.** Strong presales and premium-format availability (Dolby, 4DX, IMAX) reflect festival buzz from Cannes and the film’s record South Korean debut of $11.3 million, yet the lengthy runtime, mixed audience expectations for an imported genre title, and September competition limit upside. Historical patterns for non-English-language films and the market’s emphasis on domestic three-day totals (September 11–13) keep sub-$6 million as the clearest favorite at 43.5% implied probability, while 9–10 million sits second at 29%. Upcoming opening-weekend tracking and early word-of-mouth will be the decisive swing factors.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$1終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment, with the 156-minute sci-fi monster thriller facing a midweek launch and a 77% Rotten Tomatoes score that signals solid but not breakout critical reception.** Strong presales and premium-format availability (Dolby, 4DX, IMAX) reflect festival buzz from Cannes and the film’s record South Korean debut of $11.3 million, yet the lengthy runtime, mixed audience expectations for an imported genre title, and September competition limit upside. Historical patterns for non-English-language films and the market’s emphasis on domestic three-day totals (September 11–13) keep sub-$6 million as the clearest favorite at 43.5% implied probability, while 9–10 million sits second at 29%. Upcoming opening-weekend tracking and early word-of-mouth will be the decisive swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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