The near-even split between Avengers: Doomsday at 52.5% and Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 47.5% reflects trader consensus on their comparable MCU scale and summer 2026 release timing. Doomsday benefits from Avengers-level ensemble crossover appeal and Robert Downey Jr. casting momentum, while Brand New Day draws on Spider-Man's proven solo franchise strength and younger audience loyalty. Both outpace Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping due to lower anticipated opening-week grosses for those properties. Key upcoming catalysts include first trailers and presale data, which could shift implied probabilities as tracking estimates clarify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 53%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 48%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$72,430 Vol.
$72,430 Vol.
2026/12/31
Avengers: Doomsday
53%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
48%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 53%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 48%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$72,430 Vol.
$72,430 Vol.
2026/12/31
Avengers: Doomsday
$22,327 Vol.
53%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$17,384 Vol.
48%
Toy Story 5
$3,657 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,511 Vol.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The near-even split between Avengers: Doomsday at 52.5% and Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 47.5% reflects trader consensus on their comparable MCU scale and summer 2026 release timing. Doomsday benefits from Avengers-level ensemble crossover appeal and Robert Downey Jr. casting momentum, while Brand New Day draws on Spider-Man's proven solo franchise strength and younger audience loyalty. Both outpace Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping due to lower anticipated opening-week grosses for those properties. Key upcoming catalysts include first trailers and presale data, which could shift implied probabilities as tracking estimates clarify.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
音量
$72,430終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The near-even split between Avengers: Doomsday at 52.5% and Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 47.5% reflects trader consensus on their comparable MCU scale and summer 2026 release timing. Doomsday benefits from Avengers-level ensemble crossover appeal and Robert Downey Jr. casting momentum, while Brand New Day draws on Spider-Man's proven solo franchise strength and younger audience loyalty. Both outpace Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping due to lower anticipated opening-week grosses for those properties. Key upcoming catalysts include first trailers and presale data, which could shift implied probabilities as tracking estimates clarify.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$72,430終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The near-even split between Avengers: Doomsday at 52.5% and Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 47.5% reflects trader consensus on their comparable MCU scale and summer 2026 release timing. Doomsday benefits from Avengers-level ensemble crossover appeal and Robert Downey Jr. casting momentum, while Brand New Day draws on Spider-Man's proven solo franchise strength and younger audience loyalty. Both outpace Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping due to lower anticipated opening-week grosses for those properties. Key upcoming catalysts include first trailers and presale data, which could shift implied probabilities as tracking estimates clarify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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