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icon for ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月25日~ 9月1日は?

ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月25日~ 9月1日は?

icon for ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月25日~ 9月1日は?

ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月25日~ 9月1日は?

20-39 61%

40-59 28%

60-79 6.4%

<20 1.7%

Polymarket
新規

20-39 61%

40-59 28%

60-79 6.4%

<20 1.7%

Polymarket
新規

<20

$276 Vol.

2%

20-39

$934 Vol.

61%

40-59

$772 Vol.

20%

60-79

$491 Vol.

8%

80-99

$199 Vol.

1%

100-119

$141 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$259 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$136 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$139 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$179 Vol.

<1%

200+

$179 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, who assumed the NYC mayoralty in January 2026, maintains an active official @NYCMayor presence on X focused on policy announcements, public safety alerts, infrastructure updates, and community initiatives. Recent activity through mid-to-late August shows a steady rhythm of original posts and retweets, often several per day, aligned with routine governance communications rather than crisis-driven spikes. This pattern, consistent with earlier months in office where the account averaged several daily updates, underpins trader consensus around 20-39 posts for the coming week, reflecting expectations of continued moderate volume absent major breaking events or holidays within the window. Historical precedent from the administration and comparable mayoral accounts supports this range as the baseline for non-exceptional periods.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$3,703
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, who assumed the NYC mayoralty in January 2026, maintains an active official @NYCMayor presence on X focused on policy announcements, public safety alerts, infrastructure updates, and community initiatives. Recent activity through mid-to-late August shows a steady rhythm of original posts and retweets, often several per day, aligned with routine governance communications rather than crisis-driven spikes. This pattern, consistent with earlier months in office where the account averaged several daily updates, underpins trader consensus around 20-39 posts for the coming week, reflecting expectations of continued moderate volume absent major breaking events or holidays within the window. Historical precedent from the administration and comparable mayoral accounts supports this range as the baseline for non-exceptional periods.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$3,703
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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よくある質問

「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月25日~ 9月1日は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「20-39」で61%、次いで「40-59」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、61¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に61%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月25日~ 9月1日は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 22, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月25日~ 9月1日は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月25日~ 9月1日は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「20-39」で61%であり、市場がこの結果に61%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「40-59」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニューヨーク市長#のポスト2026年8月25日~ 9月1日は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。