Trader consensus places Donald Trump's Truth Social output for August 18-25, 2026, in a narrow band with 140-159 posts leading at 20 percent, followed closely by 200-plus and 180-199 bins. This distribution stems from variable weekly patterns shaped by his public schedule, responses to news developments, and typical posting rhythms on the platform. With top outcomes separated by just a few percentage points, traders see limited clarity on whether external events or routine activity will drive totals higher or lower in the resolution window. Scheduled travel, major announcements, or rapid developments in political or policy matters could widen the range, while a quiet period might compress volume toward lower bins. Historical weekly averages inform baseline expectations, yet short-term volatility keeps probabilities tightly contested.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日200+ 26%
140-159 19%
180-199 17%
160-179 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
10%
100-119
1%
120-139
11%
140-159
19%
160-179
16%
180-199
17%
200+
26%
200+ 26%
140-159 19%
180-199 17%
160-179 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
<20
$392 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$300 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$174 Vol.
1%
60-79
$73 Vol.
1%
80-99
$406 Vol.
10%
100-119
$89 Vol.
1%
120-139
$117 Vol.
11%
140-159
$311 Vol.
19%
160-179
$472 Vol.
16%
180-199
$436 Vol.
17%
200+
$512 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus places Donald Trump's Truth Social output for August 18-25, 2026, in a narrow band with 140-159 posts leading at 20 percent, followed closely by 200-plus and 180-199 bins. This distribution stems from variable weekly patterns shaped by his public schedule, responses to news developments, and typical posting rhythms on the platform. With top outcomes separated by just a few percentage points, traders see limited clarity on whether external events or routine activity will drive totals higher or lower in the resolution window. Scheduled travel, major announcements, or rapid developments in political or policy matters could widen the range, while a quiet period might compress volume toward lower bins. Historical weekly averages inform baseline expectations, yet short-term volatility keeps probabilities tightly contested.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$3,177終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus places Donald Trump's Truth Social output for August 18-25, 2026, in a narrow band with 140-159 posts leading at 20 percent, followed closely by 200-plus and 180-199 bins. This distribution stems from variable weekly patterns shaped by his public schedule, responses to news developments, and typical posting rhythms on the platform. With top outcomes separated by just a few percentage points, traders see limited clarity on whether external events or routine activity will drive totals higher or lower in the resolution window. Scheduled travel, major announcements, or rapid developments in political or policy matters could widen the range, while a quiet period might compress volume toward lower bins. Historical weekly averages inform baseline expectations, yet short-term volatility keeps probabilities tightly contested.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$3,177終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETTrader consensus places Donald Trump's Truth Social output for August 18-25, 2026, in a narrow band with 140-159 posts leading at 20 percent, followed closely by 200-plus and 180-199 bins. This distribution stems from variable weekly patterns shaped by his public schedule, responses to news developments, and typical posting rhythms on the platform. With top outcomes separated by just a few percentage points, traders see limited clarity on whether external events or routine activity will drive totals higher or lower in the resolution window. Scheduled travel, major announcements, or rapid developments in political or policy matters could widen the range, while a quiet period might compress volume toward lower bins. Historical weekly averages inform baseline expectations, yet short-term volatility keeps probabilities tightly contested.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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