Traders see Elon Musk’s baseline X activity as the core driver here, with historical weekly volumes clustering around 150-250 posts amid his mix of replies, commentary, and platform engagement. Recent patterns show moderate intensity without major spikes from events like Starship tests or earnings, keeping the 160-199 and 180-199 brackets neck-and-neck at roughly 18% each while the 200-219 range sits close behind. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether routine business updates and public exchanges push totals higher or if quieter stretches prevail, with no immediate catalysts like launches or controversies altering momentum before the period begins. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, underscoring uncertainty around daily variability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日180-199 19%
160-179 18%
200-219 17%
220-239 13%
新規
$108,888 Vol.
新規
$108,888 Vol.
2026/08/21
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
5%
140-159
11%
160-179
18%
180-199
19%
200-219
17%
220-239
13%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
160-179 18%
200-219 17%
220-239 13%
新規
$108,888 Vol.
新規
$108,888 Vol.
2026/08/21
<20
$1,883 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$1,883 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,883 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$12,742 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$10,336 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$21,854 Vol.
1%
120-139
$12,806 Vol.
5%
140-159
$1,396 Vol.
11%
160-179
$2,844 Vol.
18%
180-199
$1,670 Vol.
19%
200-219
$1,134 Vol.
17%
220-239
$1,183 Vol.
13%
240-259
$1,282 Vol.
8%
260-279
$1,400 Vol.
5%
280-299
$4,487 Vol.
2%
300-319
$2,515 Vol.
1%
320-339
$2,159 Vol.
1%
340-359
$1,310 Vol.
1%
360-379
$892 Vol.
1%
380-399
$790 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$1,474 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$1,653 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$1,933 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$1,383 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$1,383 Vol.
<1%
500+
$14,615 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk’s baseline X activity as the core driver here, with historical weekly volumes clustering around 150-250 posts amid his mix of replies, commentary, and platform engagement. Recent patterns show moderate intensity without major spikes from events like Starship tests or earnings, keeping the 160-199 and 180-199 brackets neck-and-neck at roughly 18% each while the 200-219 range sits close behind. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether routine business updates and public exchanges push totals higher or if quieter stretches prevail, with no immediate catalysts like launches or controversies altering momentum before the period begins. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, underscoring uncertainty around daily variability.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$108,888終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk’s baseline X activity as the core driver here, with historical weekly volumes clustering around 150-250 posts amid his mix of replies, commentary, and platform engagement. Recent patterns show moderate intensity without major spikes from events like Starship tests or earnings, keeping the 160-199 and 180-199 brackets neck-and-neck at roughly 18% each while the 200-219 range sits close behind. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether routine business updates and public exchanges push totals higher or if quieter stretches prevail, with no immediate catalysts like launches or controversies altering momentum before the period begins. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, underscoring uncertainty around daily variability.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$108,888終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Elon Musk’s baseline X activity as the core driver here, with historical weekly volumes clustering around 150-250 posts amid his mix of replies, commentary, and platform engagement. Recent patterns show moderate intensity without major spikes from events like Starship tests or earnings, keeping the 160-199 and 180-199 brackets neck-and-neck at roughly 18% each while the 200-219 range sits close behind. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether routine business updates and public exchanges push totals higher or if quieter stretches prevail, with no immediate catalysts like launches or controversies altering momentum before the period begins. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, underscoring uncertainty around daily variability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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