Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with figures such as 38% from the New York Times tracker and 33-37% in Economist/YouGov and other surveys released in early-to-mid August. This positioning stems from ongoing factors including the Iran conflict, which has involved U.S. casualties and energy market volatility, alongside persistent voter concerns over affordability, inflation, and cost-of-living issues. With approval ratings showing limited movement over recent months and only days remaining before the August 21 measurement, traders see narrow ranges near 38% as most probable. Fresh economic data releases, diplomatic developments in the Middle East, or late polls could still produce modest shifts within the final window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日38.0〜38.4 37%
38.5〜38.9 36%
39.0以上 36%
37.5～37.9 35%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
＜37.0
34%
37.0〜37.4
33%
37.5～37.9
35%
38.0〜38.4
37%
38.5〜38.9
36%
39.0以上
36%
38.0〜38.4 37%
38.5〜38.9 36%
39.0以上 36%
37.5～37.9 35%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
＜37.0
$0 Vol.
34%
37.0〜37.4
$0 Vol.
33%
37.5～37.9
$0 Vol.
35%
38.0〜38.4
$0 Vol.
37%
38.5〜38.9
$0 Vol.
36%
39.0以上
$0 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with figures such as 38% from the New York Times tracker and 33-37% in Economist/YouGov and other surveys released in early-to-mid August. This positioning stems from ongoing factors including the Iran conflict, which has involved U.S. casualties and energy market volatility, alongside persistent voter concerns over affordability, inflation, and cost-of-living issues. With approval ratings showing limited movement over recent months and only days remaining before the August 21 measurement, traders see narrow ranges near 38% as most probable. Fresh economic data releases, diplomatic developments in the Middle East, or late polls could still produce modest shifts within the final window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with figures such as 38% from the New York Times tracker and 33-37% in Economist/YouGov and other surveys released in early-to-mid August. This positioning stems from ongoing factors including the Iran conflict, which has involved U.S. casualties and energy market volatility, alongside persistent voter concerns over affordability, inflation, and cost-of-living issues. With approval ratings showing limited movement over recent months and only days remaining before the August 21 measurement, traders see narrow ranges near 38% as most probable. Fresh economic data releases, diplomatic developments in the Middle East, or late polls could still produce modest shifts within the final window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with figures such as 38% from the New York Times tracker and 33-37% in Economist/YouGov and other surveys released in early-to-mid August. This positioning stems from ongoing factors including the Iran conflict, which has involved U.S. casualties and energy market volatility, alongside persistent voter concerns over affordability, inflation, and cost-of-living issues. With approval ratings showing limited movement over recent months and only days remaining before the August 21 measurement, traders see narrow ranges near 38% as most probable. Fresh economic data releases, diplomatic developments in the Middle East, or late polls could still produce modest shifts within the final window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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