Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval near 37–39 percent as of early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from the mid-30s to low-40s amid a net approval near –21. This positioning has produced closely matched probabilities across the 37.0–39.0 bins for the August 14 reading. Steady erosion since mid-2025, driven by persistent economic and foreign-policy pressures including Iran-related developments, has kept the figure in a narrow band without sharp daily swings. New survey releases, economic data, or diplomatic announcements in the coming days could shift the final tally enough to favor one narrow outcome over the others.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日37.0～37.4 37%
37.5〜37.9 37%
38.0～38.4 37%
38.5～38.9 37%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
37.0未満
15%
37.0～37.4
37%
37.5〜37.9
37%
38.0～38.4
37%
38.5～38.9
37%
39.0以上
37%
37.0～37.4 37%
37.5〜37.9 37%
38.0～38.4 37%
38.5～38.9 37%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
37.0未満
$0 Vol.
15%
37.0～37.4
$0 Vol.
37%
37.5〜37.9
$0 Vol.
37%
38.0～38.4
$0 Vol.
37%
38.5～38.9
$0 Vol.
37%
39.0以上
$2 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval near 37–39 percent as of early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from the mid-30s to low-40s amid a net approval near –21. This positioning has produced closely matched probabilities across the 37.0–39.0 bins for the August 14 reading. Steady erosion since mid-2025, driven by persistent economic and foreign-policy pressures including Iran-related developments, has kept the figure in a narrow band without sharp daily swings. New survey releases, economic data, or diplomatic announcements in the coming days could shift the final tally enough to favor one narrow outcome over the others.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
音量
$2終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval near 37–39 percent as of early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from the mid-30s to low-40s amid a net approval near –21. This positioning has produced closely matched probabilities across the 37.0–39.0 bins for the August 14 reading. Steady erosion since mid-2025, driven by persistent economic and foreign-policy pressures including Iran-related developments, has kept the figure in a narrow band without sharp daily swings. New survey releases, economic data, or diplomatic announcements in the coming days could shift the final tally enough to favor one narrow outcome over the others.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$2終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval near 37–39 percent as of early August 2026, with individual surveys ranging from the mid-30s to low-40s amid a net approval near –21. This positioning has produced closely matched probabilities across the 37.0–39.0 bins for the August 14 reading. Steady erosion since mid-2025, driven by persistent economic and foreign-policy pressures including Iran-related developments, has kept the figure in a narrow band without sharp daily swings. New survey releases, economic data, or diplomatic announcements in the coming days could shift the final tally enough to favor one narrow outcome over the others.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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