Trump's Truth Social activity in early August 2026 reflects an established pattern of high-volume posting as president, with 2025 data showing an average of roughly 18 posts per day and 2026 analyses indicating similar or elevated rates around 20 daily. Weekly totals near 126–140 align with several leading market bins, while frequent spikes—sometimes exceeding 100 posts in a single day during news-driven periods—support the 21% probability on 200+. The tight clustering across 120–179 ranges stems from this inherent variance, driven by responses to policy developments, economic signals, and breaking events rather than fixed schedules. Recent launch of paid early-access feeds for his posts underscores ongoing market sensitivity to volume and timing. A quiet stretch with routine updates would likely favor the middle bins, whereas major announcements or escalations could push totals higher and widen separation among outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日200+ 21%
140-159 18%
160-179 17%
120-139 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
1%
80-99
5%
100-119
10%
120-139
15%
140-159
18%
160-179
17%
180-199
9%
200+
21%
200+ 21%
140-159 18%
160-179 17%
120-139 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
<20
$759 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$217 Vol.
1%
40-59
$149 Vol.
1%
60-79
$251 Vol.
1%
80-99
$507 Vol.
5%
100-119
$575 Vol.
10%
120-139
$416 Vol.
15%
140-159
$474 Vol.
18%
160-179
$988 Vol.
17%
180-199
$556 Vol.
9%
200+
$818 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity in early August 2026 reflects an established pattern of high-volume posting as president, with 2025 data showing an average of roughly 18 posts per day and 2026 analyses indicating similar or elevated rates around 20 daily. Weekly totals near 126–140 align with several leading market bins, while frequent spikes—sometimes exceeding 100 posts in a single day during news-driven periods—support the 21% probability on 200+. The tight clustering across 120–179 ranges stems from this inherent variance, driven by responses to policy developments, economic signals, and breaking events rather than fixed schedules. Recent launch of paid early-access feeds for his posts underscores ongoing market sensitivity to volume and timing. A quiet stretch with routine updates would likely favor the middle bins, whereas major announcements or escalations could push totals higher and widen separation among outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$5,709終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity in early August 2026 reflects an established pattern of high-volume posting as president, with 2025 data showing an average of roughly 18 posts per day and 2026 analyses indicating similar or elevated rates around 20 daily. Weekly totals near 126–140 align with several leading market bins, while frequent spikes—sometimes exceeding 100 posts in a single day during news-driven periods—support the 21% probability on 200+. The tight clustering across 120–179 ranges stems from this inherent variance, driven by responses to policy developments, economic signals, and breaking events rather than fixed schedules. Recent launch of paid early-access feeds for his posts underscores ongoing market sensitivity to volume and timing. A quiet stretch with routine updates would likely favor the middle bins, whereas major announcements or escalations could push totals higher and widen separation among outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$5,709終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETTrump's Truth Social activity in early August 2026 reflects an established pattern of high-volume posting as president, with 2025 data showing an average of roughly 18 posts per day and 2026 analyses indicating similar or elevated rates around 20 daily. Weekly totals near 126–140 align with several leading market bins, while frequent spikes—sometimes exceeding 100 posts in a single day during news-driven periods—support the 21% probability on 200+. The tight clustering across 120–179 ranges stems from this inherent variance, driven by responses to policy developments, economic signals, and breaking events rather than fixed schedules. Recent launch of paid early-access feeds for his posts underscores ongoing market sensitivity to volume and timing. A quiet stretch with routine updates would likely favor the middle bins, whereas major announcements or escalations could push totals higher and widen separation among outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問