Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18–24 posts daily in recent periods including 2025–2026, anchors trader expectations for the August 4–11 window near 120–170 total entries. This baseline reflects routine commentary on policy, international developments such as the Iran situation, and domestic priorities, with volume fluctuating around travel, speeches, and events. Scheduled appearances including remarks in Las Vegas on August 5 and related White House transitions may sustain or modestly elevate output without clear catalysts for sharp spikes or drops. The 120–139 range leads at 48% as the closest alignment to recent weekly norms, while clustered probabilities in the 60–139 band capture typical variance observed across comparable periods.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日100-119 19%
120-139 19%
80-99 16%
140-159 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
<20
4%
20-39
5%
40-59
14%
60-79
9%
80-99
16%
100-119
19%
120-139
19%
140-159
15%
160-179
10%
180-199
6%
200+
21%
100-119 19%
120-139 19%
80-99 16%
140-159 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
<20
$10 Vol.
4%
20-39
$1 Vol.
5%
40-59
$0 Vol.
14%
60-79
$0 Vol.
9%
80-99
$0 Vol.
16%
100-119
$0 Vol.
19%
120-139
$9 Vol.
19%
140-159
$13 Vol.
15%
160-179
$16 Vol.
10%
180-199
$29 Vol.
6%
200+
$180 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18–24 posts daily in recent periods including 2025–2026, anchors trader expectations for the August 4–11 window near 120–170 total entries. This baseline reflects routine commentary on policy, international developments such as the Iran situation, and domestic priorities, with volume fluctuating around travel, speeches, and events. Scheduled appearances including remarks in Las Vegas on August 5 and related White House transitions may sustain or modestly elevate output without clear catalysts for sharp spikes or drops. The 120–139 range leads at 48% as the closest alignment to recent weekly norms, while clustered probabilities in the 60–139 band capture typical variance observed across comparable periods.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$258終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18–24 posts daily in recent periods including 2025–2026, anchors trader expectations for the August 4–11 window near 120–170 total entries. This baseline reflects routine commentary on policy, international developments such as the Iran situation, and domestic priorities, with volume fluctuating around travel, speeches, and events. Scheduled appearances including remarks in Las Vegas on August 5 and related White House transitions may sustain or modestly elevate output without clear catalysts for sharp spikes or drops. The 120–139 range leads at 48% as the closest alignment to recent weekly norms, while clustered probabilities in the 60–139 band capture typical variance observed across comparable periods.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$258終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETTrump's established Truth Social activity, averaging 18–24 posts daily in recent periods including 2025–2026, anchors trader expectations for the August 4–11 window near 120–170 total entries. This baseline reflects routine commentary on policy, international developments such as the Iran situation, and domestic priorities, with volume fluctuating around travel, speeches, and events. Scheduled appearances including remarks in Las Vegas on August 5 and related White House transitions may sustain or modestly elevate output without clear catalysts for sharp spikes or drops. The 120–139 range leads at 48% as the closest alignment to recent weekly norms, while clustered probabilities in the 60–139 band capture typical variance observed across comparable periods.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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