Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 38-39% for Donald Trump's approval rating on August 7, with the highest probabilities on 39.0+ and the adjacent 38.5–38.9 range. This reflects polling stability over recent weeks amid steady economic indicators, border enforcement metrics, and foreign policy developments in the second term. The narrow spread highlights how small daily movements in public sentiment on trade, inflation trends, and legislative progress keep multiple outcomes competitive. Releases of employment or consumer data in the coming days, or any notable diplomatic or regulatory announcements, could shift probabilities by altering short-term perceptions before the target date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日37.0〜37.4 49%
38.5〜38.9 49%
37.5〜37.9 47%
38.0～38.4 47%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
37.0未満
38%
37.0〜37.4
49%
37.5〜37.9
47%
38.0～38.4
47%
38.5〜38.9
49%
39.0以上
46%
37.0〜37.4 49%
38.5〜38.9 49%
37.5〜37.9 47%
38.0～38.4 47%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
37.0未満
$53 Vol.
38%
37.0〜37.4
$0 Vol.
49%
37.5〜37.9
$0 Vol.
47%
38.0～38.4
$0 Vol.
47%
38.5〜38.9
$0 Vol.
49%
39.0以上
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 38-39% for Donald Trump's approval rating on August 7, with the highest probabilities on 39.0+ and the adjacent 38.5–38.9 range. This reflects polling stability over recent weeks amid steady economic indicators, border enforcement metrics, and foreign policy developments in the second term. The narrow spread highlights how small daily movements in public sentiment on trade, inflation trends, and legislative progress keep multiple outcomes competitive. Releases of employment or consumer data in the coming days, or any notable diplomatic or regulatory announcements, could shift probabilities by altering short-term perceptions before the target date.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
音量
$53終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 38-39% for Donald Trump's approval rating on August 7, with the highest probabilities on 39.0+ and the adjacent 38.5–38.9 range. This reflects polling stability over recent weeks amid steady economic indicators, border enforcement metrics, and foreign policy developments in the second term. The narrow spread highlights how small daily movements in public sentiment on trade, inflation trends, and legislative progress keep multiple outcomes competitive. Releases of employment or consumer data in the coming days, or any notable diplomatic or regulatory announcements, could shift probabilities by altering short-term perceptions before the target date.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 7, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$53終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 38-39% for Donald Trump's approval rating on August 7, with the highest probabilities on 39.0+ and the adjacent 38.5–38.9 range. This reflects polling stability over recent weeks amid steady economic indicators, border enforcement metrics, and foreign policy developments in the second term. The narrow spread highlights how small daily movements in public sentiment on trade, inflation trends, and legislative progress keep multiple outcomes competitive. Releases of employment or consumer data in the coming days, or any notable diplomatic or regulatory announcements, could shift probabilities by altering short-term perceptions before the target date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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