Recent developments in Gaza ceasefire negotiations center on the Board of Peace's July 30, 2026, announcement of a Hamas-agreed roadmap for phased disarmament and Israeli troop withdrawal, following months of indirect talks and the second phase of the 2025 Trump-backed plan. Israel, a founding Board member, has issued no formal response, reflecting persistent gaps over sequencing—Israeli insistence on verified demilitarization versus Hamas conditions tied to full withdrawal and governance transitions. With the August 7 deadline days away, trader consensus at roughly even odds reflects this uncertainty, as prior stalled phases and competing demands from both sides create balanced risk. Confirmation from Israeli officials or additional Board-mediated concessions could shift probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
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2026/08/07
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2026/08/07
On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.
A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.Recent developments in Gaza ceasefire negotiations center on the Board of Peace's July 30, 2026, announcement of a Hamas-agreed roadmap for phased disarmament and Israeli troop withdrawal, following months of indirect talks and the second phase of the 2025 Trump-backed plan. Israel, a founding Board member, has issued no formal response, reflecting persistent gaps over sequencing—Israeli insistence on verified demilitarization versus Hamas conditions tied to full withdrawal and governance transitions. With the August 7 deadline days away, trader consensus at roughly even odds reflects this uncertainty, as prior stalled phases and competing demands from both sides create balanced risk. Confirmation from Israeli officials or additional Board-mediated concessions could shift probabilities before resolution.
On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.
A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.
A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 7:20 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 7:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.
A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.Recent developments in Gaza ceasefire negotiations center on the Board of Peace's July 30, 2026, announcement of a Hamas-agreed roadmap for phased disarmament and Israeli troop withdrawal, following months of indirect talks and the second phase of the 2025 Trump-backed plan. Israel, a founding Board member, has issued no formal response, reflecting persistent gaps over sequencing—Israeli insistence on verified demilitarization versus Hamas conditions tied to full withdrawal and governance transitions. With the August 7 deadline days away, trader consensus at roughly even odds reflects this uncertainty, as prior stalled phases and competing demands from both sides create balanced risk. Confirmation from Israeli officials or additional Board-mediated concessions could shift probabilities before resolution.
On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.
A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.
A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 7:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments in Gaza ceasefire negotiations center on the Board of Peace's July 30, 2026, announcement of a Hamas-agreed roadmap for phased disarmament and Israeli troop withdrawal, following months of indirect talks and the second phase of the 2025 Trump-backed plan. Israel, a founding Board member, has issued no formal response, reflecting persistent gaps over sequencing—Israeli insistence on verified demilitarization versus Hamas conditions tied to full withdrawal and governance transitions. With the August 7 deadline days away, trader consensus at roughly even odds reflects this uncertainty, as prior stalled phases and competing demands from both sides create balanced risk. Confirmation from Israeli officials or additional Board-mediated concessions could shift probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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